What's the future for Parties and individuals???

YSRCP emerging victorious in 85% seats has led to downfall of many parties and Individuals. If we  take a close look, YSRCp won convincingly with 15000 majority in almost all seats except Narsanapet.


Although, YSRCp couldn't manage a win in Ramachandrapuram, Narsapuram and Parakala. They would be very happy as the majority was very weak for Narsapuram and Parakala. Parakala was a thriller, an IPL T20 ishtyle counting was seen.


With Congress managing two wins, they have no reason to smile. They have lost deposits in 7 constituencies. Which is not entertaining. This clearly states Jagan's anti incumbancy is not what you have to target. Its just what we have done and what we have to do..


This elections gave a dead blow to Chiranjeevi. He assured high command of minimum 6 seats victory, out of his promise only one came, Narsapuram is a bonus. His hopes of being a cabinet minister have become thin now. So, its really tough for him to get a position, as no person from state will really support.


With Congress hoping for a charismatic leader. Which has been a mirage for them, is still hoping. They pinned hopes on Chiranjeevi as the saviour, though the cadre felt its a foolish one. When you have a power house like Jagan in your camp and you throw home out and get Chiranjeevi in, its your foolishness.


Chiranjeevi couldn't win when he had a party, what will he don, when a force like Jagan is threatening. Exclusive words said by an MLA and some cadre leaders.


Today, in press meet. Congress candidate from Tirupati, had tears rolled out, focusing Chiranjeevi's unfaithablity in Tirupati MLA. He said, "some leaders have worked hard for my defeat, thanks to them." This made many heart break as he was literally crying out.


TDP's image definitely took a beat but they can bounce but not in 2014 certainly. They lost deposits in 5 assembly and parliamentary. That makes clear that they are not going to get any seat in parliament this time, mostly might not get. Assembly seats are equally tough. 


TDP is concentrating on Jagan and his illegal wealth. They are unable to understand, why people don't believe in their words. Simple, they still feel Chandra Babu is not right man and secondly, Jagan repeated Congress and TDP are one and saying that still TDP say Jagan is illegal, that's what Congress is saying. So, Congress and TDP use the same weapon and this makes they are one.


People come to meetings, listen and leave. But the impact lies with those who are with the people. Jagan was in people consistently. You could hardly see a day where Sakshi paper or television didn't have a road show of Jagan held. 


TDP and Congress on flip, never got into people till elections and the good, great approach of Sharmila and Vijayamma, they were on top notch right from word go. Though Vijayamma had little hiccups in beginning day, she was perfect by end. On the other side, Sharmila was a roaring success right from day 1. 


YSRCP cadre were jubiliant as they had a strong leader yet again. Jagan's exist was properly covered upto 90% by Sharmila. Though her voice pitch is low, her essence and elagance give view of YSR, which was the straight impact in people. 


As leaders and parties are busy analyzing, TV channels already analyzed the future. You can see, a big analysis part in tomorrow's every paper. They said just one thing, 2014 a year for JAGAN and his FAN. Though it is 2 years, Sharmila and Vijayamma will run the party with ease. They will take suggestions from Jagan. It isn't a big deal. This case will continue very long, that is for sure. According to me, he may get bail on June 25 and will get arrested again for the next polls.


As far as my knowledge, YSRCP is in full throttle, they will continue this. There strength is 17 now. It can touch to 19 or 20 in coming 3 to 4 months, as 2 MLA's Ranga Rao and Nani done with their resignation. 


TDP is on back foot, by large it would not get into any throttle, if they stop acting as pro to Congress. They should search new things to attack Jagan. Congress, will lose the south hold completely, if they continue to portray YSR as an anti element and Sonia Gandhi is true leader. Enough guys, Sonia Gandhi is no more a goddess. Her place is occupied by YSR now. 


So, as national media, state media and survey reports that a bright future for YSRCP and dim future for Congress and TDP. Thats what our pick is too.


The telengana sentiment is also having a hiccup here. Though, TRS lost in Mahbubnagar and won by death in Parakala. It is tough time, as they have to regroup and get themselves back in race. You can't sit in home and relax till elections come. Remember, Jagan never sat in home. He hardly had any rest in these 15 months.

BJP is still not finding any answer in A.P. Though they thought they had a sniff chance in A.P by saying Telengana will be given. It is still doubt for them as they are in fourth position in Parakala. As far as TDP and Congress are concerned with Telengana. They are in last positions. 5000 votes is all what Congress got. 


They can say reasons. Reasons are in number after you lose. But your soul knows everything about victory and lose. Leaders check yourself

Campaigning ends

Campaign for 18 by-polls ends today. Perhaps by the time I complete posting this, it will have completed. Its hardly another 3 min left. 


So, the campaigning by all parties should be stopped by 5 P.M. today evening and also there should be no means of paper and liquid to flow to voters. And no e-campaign also.


All parties can now relax and stretch their calf muscles and by the time you really relax with a sip, you have your eyes on voting date. Yes, June 12 is the date and there is plenty of drama happening.


With YSRCP taking this by-polls as prestigeous, yes they have to take as they can refer this as an ultimatum to 2014 elections. Because Jagan is in Jail and nothing beyond that can happen to YSRCP. They found a new leader in the party. Sharmila Reddy has been the show stopper, campaign stealler with direct hit words.


Congress on the other hand tried to thrust the throttle, which worked very partially. They can feel happy as they have got some good responses in parts during campaigning. But the vote share will be the doubt because, majority how come and gone as there was no thunder words by congress. Congress which banked on development schemes, failed miserably in taking them into crowd.


On the flip, they concentrated on firing at YS Jagan and Sharmila. This definitely detroited them, scolding women is not a good sign or positive way in Andhra Politics. Women vote bank is very precious. In the past there are only two persons who have got this bank. One being NTR and other being YSR.


Both of them died in office and the vote bank now shifted to YSRCP, to be precise Jagan. As Jagan is in Jail there has been massive increase in following as Vijayamma and Sharmila have stepped out and took the responsibility. 


TDP, who are waiting for an opportunity are still waiting. Initial stages looked atleast TDP could get 2nd position, but now, its as difficult as getting back into throne in 2014. There was luke worm response from cadre when their supreme has come for campaigning. The reason being the local MLA's unsatisfied. What ever the reasons be, this made party to shatter their own image and as a result they have fallen into steep with this. 


So, the voters are ready, EVM's are ready, media is ready, candidates are ready and everyone is ready. Will update you all the happenings on election day.. Do try to catch the glimpse of survey we did... Our Survey will be updated tonight..

TJAC to support TRS in Parakala

Telengana Joint Action Committee (TJAC) decided to extend her support to TRS party in by-polls to be held. After long hiss and tuss finally today after meeting for 2 hours.


TJAC met and decided to support TRS on basis of Statistical data and also scientific calculations of winning percentages and cleared its stand.


With TJAC supporting TRS, BJP has to participate in elections lone and now has to bank on candidate for victory. Though the candidate is said to be one of the best and finest member. He is a renowned doctor by profession and is believed to hit purple patch if YSRCP fails on sympathy wave.


Now, it is all set for elections in Parakala as candidates list have come out and candidates are busy in campaigning. Most of them bet on TRS - YSRCP - BJP war. But some say YSRCP and BJP are main horses. Lets see who wins. 


The daily political innings are changing alot as Jagan has been arrested and now Vijayamma is set to move out and now sympathy wave setting to begin. TRS getting support of TJAC and Congress and TDP unable to cope up even after arrest of Jagan.


Jagan's arrest isn't captivated by Congress or TDP. They feel that its better to leave Jagan then concentrate on him. On flip side, YSRCP will never leave three people, Sonia Gandhi or Congress, TDP or Chandra Babu and Yellow media. They have become more like weapons to them.

3 Decades of TDP

March 29, 1982 was the day when Matinee Idol of South India and A.P's whole hearted actor Late Sri Nandamuri TARAKA RAMA RAO famously called as NTR launched his political party just to show the stamina of Andhra-ites. He launched Telugu Desam Party when people of A.P were reluctant to vote Congress to power again. TDP's record is unmatchable, within 9 months after starting the party. It came into power.


The alternative for people of A.P was well set up with NTR's TDP. They have created a history by winning 204 seats in 1982-1983. They maintained well with the majority but due to some reasons, government fell flat. 


In the next elections in 1984, TDP won back again into power with surpassing by a seat this time. They won 205. Later they were confined to Opposition party in Assembly and later won back to power in 1994. At this point NTR passed away. And party's proceedings were taken over by N. Chandra Babu Naidu.


There are many speculations over NTR death and they still continue. Chandra Babu holds the records for the longest time of C.M for A.P state. He was in chair for more than 9 years. However in 2004, they suffered a huge setback as they were limited to 47 seats. The worst ever in their history. This was for stand taken by Chandra Babu Naidu on farmers.


In 2009, they teamed up with TRS, CPI, CPM. But still couldn't win those elections. The big problem now they are facing immediately is threat to lose the 90 odd seats which they won in 2009. With YSRCP, a new party on block, is showing a lot of increment in vote share in Coastal Andhra and Rayalseema region. 


With TDP almost shuning out in Telengana as their supremo couldn't take a stand on Telengana issue. No doubt, it can be said that, TDP and Chandra Babu are certainly facing the heat which they never thought of in 30 long years of party's sail. There is every chance of TDP to hold their position to very low number of seats this time. One can only say that, its time for Chandra Babu to stop acting and think. 

'Jump'ing Season ahead???

After stupendous success of YSRCP, TRS in by-polls, all the political leaders are rethinking about their position in their parties. According to a newspaper and some sources, as many as 80 Mla's have contacted Jagan Reddy and congratulated him on his victory.


Now, this number clearly defies his mass appeal and churn out of 2014 results. Many leaders have contacted central committee persons of YSRCP and expressed their wishes and feelings on joining YSRCP. Some analysts feel that, Jagan should be extremely careful, as the victory can make him feel on top and loss on land. He has to chose those persons who would be with him even in strong and tough conditions. Just as he managed to get support of 17 MLA's.


As he got phone calls, he was also down to earth about the victory and showed a lot of sensibilism in his talk. Many telengana leaders are now unable to decide about joining in TRS or BJP. Certainly, BJP has become a lifeline for leaders who don't want to join TRS. 


TRS should now plan well orwise would fall to low, which they haven't seen since 2009. According to some reports, KCR has already started his work to get back and gain hold on all major constituencies.


If Jagan continues his odarupu yatra into telengana region, which he should have started by this time. Then leaders will get a third option of joining in. Because, Jagan made it clear and also won sympathy on his stand on Telengana. As he said, he doesn't have any power to give or stop and we will not stand as mock in between for Telengana. This statement he made in last year plenary meetings won many hearts in Telengana region. Even Konda Surekha, his loyalist MLA hails from Telengana.So, its easy for leaders to get into his camp.


So, one can say that its bad time ahead for TDP and Congress. They have to rethink of strategies. TDP couldn't score on their magic or their belief. They believed to put up a super show in Kovvur. But to their dismay it was worse.


In 2009, Prasanna Kumar Reddy won Kovvur seat with a majority of only 8000 votes as he got 73000 votes and congress got 65000. As he did not spend any money this time, his vote share did not increase by much, but the vote division, which TDP kept hopes on were flattered as, their share has got divided with Congress. And Majority rose to 23000 votes.


Its time for the next round of by-polls. Where 18 constituencies are going to witness elections. 17 of YSR loyalists and Chiranjeevi's Tirupati as he has been nominated to Rajya Sabha. He has to resign as MLA. If Jagan tries to win Tirupati, then its nothing but a humiliating loss for Congress in 2014. 


Even TDP is going to lose its share. It is as much as 15% loss of vote share by TDP in state, according to a survey held in 2011 end. It might be detroiting now.

Celebrations and Repentions

After stunning victory by Jagan's man in Kovvur and TRS men and BJ. Its time for celebrations as most of them registered victory(predicted). But only one surprise in this bypoll result was BJP's show. Even though we predicted the victory of TRS in MahboobNagar as a tough one, BJP just managed to pull out.


This election was special for Jagan for two reasons, primarily being The show of YSRCP outside Kadapa in fact Rayalseema region and secondly Prasanna Kumar Reddy didn't pump money as Jagan fortefied him to. Jagan wanted to test YSR's sympathy wave and his own Charisma outside his region and he succeeded.


This election proves much relief to TRS and YSRCP as both crossed their fingers on results and majority. YSRCP maintained well with a more than comfortable majority, one of the analysts said, when you are opponents are spending more than 1k per vote and you are spending about 200, then 24000 majority is just as good as 50000. If you spent money on course with opponents you would gain desired majority.


TRS won 4, infact 5 as they supported Nagam Janardhan Reddy in Nagar Kurnool and he to won with comfort majority. The shocker for TRS was MahboobNagar seat where they lost election to BJP with less than 2000 votes difference and even Jupalli Krishna Rao won with majority of little more than 13000 is also a problem for them.


Admist all results, Congress and TDP have suffered humiliating loss. Even though they maintained deposits its not a celebration time for them. They had to settle for positions 2 and 3 and in case of MahboobNagar 3 and 4. After the polls, in press conference, both Chandra Babu Naidu and Botsa Satyanaryana tried to act strong but fell very flat as they were concentrating on targeting yet again Jagan and KCR, but not themselves.


Many congressmen felt that this results will not be enough or eye-opened for high command. The coming 18 by-polls of YSR loyalists would be an eye opener as there is every possibility of all 18 sitting MLA's winning with a majority of minimum 20000. TDP has to face the worse coming in their way, if they don't rethink their strategy on Jagan and Telengana.


As of now, YSRCP, BJP would be enjoying and having their heads high after their monopoly result(only YSRCP) in Kovvur and Mahboob Nagar. TRS would be eyeing for 2014 survey reports as they have to get their caps on for fight given by BJP. Well, Congress and TDP should start working their strategy right from scrap. Its tough time ahead for both of them.




Please recommend this article. Thanks for reading. This article is a copy of present happenings in state and analysis. Author doesn't hold any responsibility for any discrepancies.

Prince of SP is now CM of UP, will this boost Jagan?

The suspense drama has ended in UP. After riveting majority they have got in recent assembly elections. It was to decide who will be the Chief Minister of state. Maximum number of SP MLA's have voted Akhilesh as CM. But Akhilesh wanted Mulayam to rule.


Getting into details. In many press conferences post and pre of election results Akhilesh said only one name as CM for UP "NETAJI" (Mulayam Singh Yadav). He calls his dad as Netaji, but many followers and MLA's believed Akhilesh to hold on as CM. He never said any word about him being CM. He just said, I want Netaji as CM, I am not interested in being CM. As a party worker, I had campaigned. It is due to Netaji support, I have struck a chord with people of UP.


Many analysts feel, Mulayam has done a very good job by appointing Akhilesh as CM. As in the recent polls, both Congress and BJP have failed to create the magic as nation wide party. It is everywhere the local parties who made it clear in winning. Neither in 2 big states congress or bjp have won or made up government. Both Punjab and UP won by local parties, when compared Congress performed pretty okay in Punjab. 


Mulayam is now all set to concentrate on Nation wide politics as he is crucial part of Third Front. With hime being in charge now after a mind boggling victory, he will ensure of getting into active politics Nation wide. He does have cordial relationships with many leaders like Navin Patnaik, Jayalalitha, Chandra Babu Naidu.


The interesting point is that Akhilesh has cordial relations with Y S Jagan Mohan Reddy, who is anti to Chandra Babu. Akhilesh himself said to press about his friendship with Jagan. He quoted, " I do have less number of friends in Parliament and one of my close is Jagan. We sit together in Parliament and share our thoughts on the problems and also make it mandatory to know integrity of our regions." With such a statement, which is creating havoc in Chandra Babu. 


On the other side it is said, Jagan congratulated Akhilesh on his success in UP elections over phone as former was busy in by-polls campaign. It is also rumoured that, Akhilesh has invited Jagan to UP, where the later promised he will in a very positive time.


Akhilesh will now sworn in as CM on March 15th, most likely. It would be interesting to see how he makes his people understand and plan out his schemes, where his ideoligies in campaigning were simply attractive. This indirectly plays on many analysts brain that, the next gen is going ahead than pro's.


It would be interesting, who would team up with SP in center from AP, if everything goes well. As of now, Akhilesh and Mulayam are playing safe with their friends being in touch. Its all set for 2014 and will reveal only in 2014. If congress doesn't win in 2014 then it is really upto third front to decide INDIA's future.


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