Thursday 22 March 2012

'Jump'ing Season ahead???

After stupendous success of YSRCP, TRS in by-polls, all the political leaders are rethinking about their position in their parties. According to a newspaper and some sources, as many as 80 Mla's have contacted Jagan Reddy and congratulated him on his victory.


Now, this number clearly defies his mass appeal and churn out of 2014 results. Many leaders have contacted central committee persons of YSRCP and expressed their wishes and feelings on joining YSRCP. Some analysts feel that, Jagan should be extremely careful, as the victory can make him feel on top and loss on land. He has to chose those persons who would be with him even in strong and tough conditions. Just as he managed to get support of 17 MLA's.


As he got phone calls, he was also down to earth about the victory and showed a lot of sensibilism in his talk. Many telengana leaders are now unable to decide about joining in TRS or BJP. Certainly, BJP has become a lifeline for leaders who don't want to join TRS. 


TRS should now plan well orwise would fall to low, which they haven't seen since 2009. According to some reports, KCR has already started his work to get back and gain hold on all major constituencies.


If Jagan continues his odarupu yatra into telengana region, which he should have started by this time. Then leaders will get a third option of joining in. Because, Jagan made it clear and also won sympathy on his stand on Telengana. As he said, he doesn't have any power to give or stop and we will not stand as mock in between for Telengana. This statement he made in last year plenary meetings won many hearts in Telengana region. Even Konda Surekha, his loyalist MLA hails from Telengana.So, its easy for leaders to get into his camp.


So, one can say that its bad time ahead for TDP and Congress. They have to rethink of strategies. TDP couldn't score on their magic or their belief. They believed to put up a super show in Kovvur. But to their dismay it was worse.


In 2009, Prasanna Kumar Reddy won Kovvur seat with a majority of only 8000 votes as he got 73000 votes and congress got 65000. As he did not spend any money this time, his vote share did not increase by much, but the vote division, which TDP kept hopes on were flattered as, their share has got divided with Congress. And Majority rose to 23000 votes.


Its time for the next round of by-polls. Where 18 constituencies are going to witness elections. 17 of YSR loyalists and Chiranjeevi's Tirupati as he has been nominated to Rajya Sabha. He has to resign as MLA. If Jagan tries to win Tirupati, then its nothing but a humiliating loss for Congress in 2014. 


Even TDP is going to lose its share. It is as much as 15% loss of vote share by TDP in state, according to a survey held in 2011 end. It might be detroiting now.



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