Showing posts with label Tirupati. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Tirupati. Show all posts

Friday, 15 June 2012

YSRCP wins 15, Congress wins 2, TRS 1

YSRCP covered 15 constituencies out of 18. And Congress has won 2 out of 18 participated. TRS 1 out 1 with a tough one.


TRS covered Parakala with a lot of hiccups. TRS was leading with 6000 votes and everyone thought they would pull upto 10000 but Konda Surekha gave tough fight to Bhikshapati. 


She surged upto 121 leading in round 16 and then TRS came back with 252 leading and continued miniature lead.


Finally TRS won with 1562 votes which is only a technical win but not a sentimental win. So, Surekha won hearts of Telengana people. The victory would have given a boost but still she has got the sentiment won.


A major cross voting and also some confusion between symbols. Surekha's symbol was misquoted by parties. Her symbol was quoted as Hand rather than Ceiling Fan. 


Tirupati assembly counting is still on. YSRCP is leading with more than 15000 votes. And all the candidates victorious for YSRCP have registered with a minimum victory of 15000 majority. Exception with Narsanapet with 7300 votes. 


Rayachoti assembly registered a massive victory of 55000 majority. All contestants have lost deposits here.


Nellore parliamentary seat won by YSRCP. Mekapati Rajmohan Reddy won by 2,91,000 majority.A new record in parliamentary of nellore.


With this results, there is an alarming bell rang for Congress, TDP and TRS. TRS why.... The reason is winning a constituency with 1500 votes is just a mini win as 11 independents have got almost all 1000 votes each. This created a misunderstand.


So, TDP hasn't won any seat and they have come close rather to say close. Saw, victory at distance in Anantapur and couple of other segments. 


Congress has changed its stand and still it is hitting Jagan. They haven't learnt from there mistakes. Hope they learn. We are true again. With 15 seats. 

Thursday, 14 June 2012

YSRCP clears majority, TDP lose all

YSRCP has won 8 seats in 18 by-polls and is leading in 7 constituencies and Congress has won one and is leading in one, TRS is leading in Parakala.


TRS is leading with almost 4500 votes in Parakala, Warangal. Congress has won in one seat with 5000 votes in Narsapuram and Ramachandrapuram is leading.


Congress lost deposits in couple of constituencies and TDP lost in Ramchandrapuram and Narsapuram. With Emignur the first in pocket of YSRCP.


Rayadurgam, Prathipadu, Railway Koddur, Anantapur Urban, Rayachoti, Pollavaram, Rajampet are the victorious for YSRCP.


In amid all the fun, Rehman of YSRCP shot six rounds in air as victorious symbol and Police are about to take into their custody. He said, it is a All India Licensced Revolver and I can do this as no one is hurt.


Congress also lost deposit in Anantapur Urban, TDP is second here. Congress also lost deposit in Macherla. 


Tirupati which was thought of only 5000 majority is inching towards almost 10000 majority. Allagada is also having good majority crossing 35000. 


Rayachoti is the toppest with 47000 plus votes and congress lost deposit here. 

Counting tomorrow

The 18 by-polls for Andhra Pradesh assembly and 1 parliamentary seat have completed on tuesday with a record polling. On an average polling was 80% and the second highest polling was recorded in Ramachandrapuram with almost 86%, first being Narasapuram and Rayadurgam with 88%.


Once again this elections proved that City youth or people are just talkers but not the doers. Yes. Tirupati which is almost a city like Hyderabad, Vishakhapatnam, witnessed the lowest percentage in elections and much to shocker, it was way behind total or average polling.


The elections are completed and the worse part is the turn out for polling. It is just OMG. Polling which started at 8 with very low turn out, saw huge turn outs and queue which  was almost 100Mts to 200 Mts all the time till the end of polling.


The voting percentage creeped up like a tower all the time from 12 P.M. and it just went on till 5 P.M. Many surveys predicted that Jagan's YSRCP would win almost 16 seats with a range of 12-16. And TRS would win 1 and TDP or Congress by chance may win 1.


But according to our survey we predicted almost all 15-16 seats victory for Jagan's party. TRS has given a tough fight for YSRCP. But, in the latest report, it is not clear that TRS has surely got votes. In Gesukonda, Surekha's backyard. One sided voting is reportedly seen and one more mandal has also seen one sided voting for Surekha. Meanwhile, Parakal town witnessed mixed voting. As Surekha being a mass leader, there is also a slight chance that she would get out. 


Undoubtedly, BJP has fallen behind in the race here. So, TRS and YSRCP are the only persons who are running to end line or finish line. 


So, all is set for counting and according to constituencies the voting will be taking place in respective educational institutions. Counting starts tomorrow at 8 A.M and by 12 P.M. results would be clear and betting is also in full swing.


Nellore Parliament, Rayadurgam, Rayachoti, Ongole are some where betting on majority is going on. Ramchandrapuram, Parakal, Prathipadu, Anantapur where betting is being on winner.


We will be updating the big results tomorrow, We will be set with 8 A.M. tomorrow. Please do visit our blog for all updates.... Results from 8 to 2. Non Stop.

Monday, 11 June 2012

Survey on Semi Finals By-polls - Part 1

After major time stress out, we have made our way to sketch the final possible result of the semi final considered 18- bypoll elections.


The 18 assembly seats and 1 parliamentary seat which is the hot topic now. As the campaigning ended yesterday and the arrangements for voting are also done. The voting and result is awaited. Though we will bring the updates for you tomorrow while polling. But first we would get you a clear image of the voting and winning percentages.


We have tried extensively for analyzing win percentage, but couldn't figure out as we had clear winners in as many as 10 constituencies. Consider it as one sided poll.


Starting with Nellore Parliamentary seat. YSRCP candidate Mekapati Rajamohan reddy and Congress candidate T Subbarami reddy are the main contenders for the set. Though TDP has kept their candidate. He was not seen in campaigning nor people turned out for seeing Chandra Babu during campaign. Nellore seat is one sided game. Betting is placed on majority of MRR. YSRCP will have 2 M.P.'s in parliament now.


Tirupati the seat which was left by once PRP now Congress leader, star campaigner Chiranjeevi. He left MLA seat as he was given Rajya Sabha ticket and is now a Congress M.P. YSRCP fielded Bhumana Karunakar Reddy  and Congress gave it to Venkata Ramana. Last time Chiranjeevi won on Bhumana K Reddy with almost 15000 votes if I am not wrong. This time it is clear that Bhumana will win this seat, but majority might not be great as confusion prevails in voting for YSRCP or Congress. As both candidates have less charisma in constituency. It is triplet war here. And YSRCP can win this seat.


Being in Rayalseema, its turn for Railway Koduru, here YSRCP has Sreenivasulu and Congress has Eswaraya. Being YS Jagan's district Kadapa. In fact Jagan's arena of Rayalseema, he can win anywhere. And this seat is no different in the case. YSRCP will win this seat comfortably.


Coming to Rayachoti, another Kadapa district constituency. YSRCP candidate Amarnath Reddy who is the loyalist for Jagan. Too good loyalist will win this seat very comfortably. He has a very good bank of castes and also Lady voters. Congress fielded Ramprasad Reddy here.


Rajamapet, YSRCP candidate Amarnath Reddy contesting here. He would win very easily. He has good backing of minorities apart from top vote banks. You can say betting on majority is an issue here. Congress candidate is Mallikarjuna Reddy.


Allagada, constituency in Kurnool district, YSRCP candidate Shoba Nagi Reddy, who was part of PRP, broke bonds with chiru when he merged his party into congress and supported Jagan. She won 2009 general elections with good majority inspite of having weak PRP cadre in seema region. Now in YSRCP, her cadre is back and she is in full swing. No matter who are opponents, she will see the winning line comfortably.


Emignur, Errakota Chenna keshava reddy is the candidate contesting here from YSRCP, the hot favourite to win the seat.


Rayadurgam is having a fierce battle between YSRCP and COngress. Kapu rama chandra Reddy from YSRCP and Patil Venugopal Reddy from congress. Its unclear about certain victory here. YSRCP might pull off well here too. 


Anantapur Urban, Gurunath Reddy and Marshid Begum are top contenders from YSRCP and congress. Gurunath Reddy has minority backing and as well as other important backing of Lady voters. Vijayamma road shows have damaged congress hopes here. He would win.


That brings to an end of Rayalseema region, where Tirupati is having the toughest competition and rest all having minor. However, Allagada is important as Gangula Pratap Reddy who is in competition is strong compender but he was reluctant to participate in elections. And it is learnt, he was not interested in campaigning.


We will update the part 2 in few hours. The next coming will be the Coastal constituencies and Parakal constituency.

Thursday, 22 March 2012

'Jump'ing Season ahead???

After stupendous success of YSRCP, TRS in by-polls, all the political leaders are rethinking about their position in their parties. According to a newspaper and some sources, as many as 80 Mla's have contacted Jagan Reddy and congratulated him on his victory.


Now, this number clearly defies his mass appeal and churn out of 2014 results. Many leaders have contacted central committee persons of YSRCP and expressed their wishes and feelings on joining YSRCP. Some analysts feel that, Jagan should be extremely careful, as the victory can make him feel on top and loss on land. He has to chose those persons who would be with him even in strong and tough conditions. Just as he managed to get support of 17 MLA's.


As he got phone calls, he was also down to earth about the victory and showed a lot of sensibilism in his talk. Many telengana leaders are now unable to decide about joining in TRS or BJP. Certainly, BJP has become a lifeline for leaders who don't want to join TRS. 


TRS should now plan well orwise would fall to low, which they haven't seen since 2009. According to some reports, KCR has already started his work to get back and gain hold on all major constituencies.


If Jagan continues his odarupu yatra into telengana region, which he should have started by this time. Then leaders will get a third option of joining in. Because, Jagan made it clear and also won sympathy on his stand on Telengana. As he said, he doesn't have any power to give or stop and we will not stand as mock in between for Telengana. This statement he made in last year plenary meetings won many hearts in Telengana region. Even Konda Surekha, his loyalist MLA hails from Telengana.So, its easy for leaders to get into his camp.


So, one can say that its bad time ahead for TDP and Congress. They have to rethink of strategies. TDP couldn't score on their magic or their belief. They believed to put up a super show in Kovvur. But to their dismay it was worse.


In 2009, Prasanna Kumar Reddy won Kovvur seat with a majority of only 8000 votes as he got 73000 votes and congress got 65000. As he did not spend any money this time, his vote share did not increase by much, but the vote division, which TDP kept hopes on were flattered as, their share has got divided with Congress. And Majority rose to 23000 votes.


Its time for the next round of by-polls. Where 18 constituencies are going to witness elections. 17 of YSR loyalists and Chiranjeevi's Tirupati as he has been nominated to Rajya Sabha. He has to resign as MLA. If Jagan tries to win Tirupati, then its nothing but a humiliating loss for Congress in 2014. 


Even TDP is going to lose its share. It is as much as 15% loss of vote share by TDP in state, according to a survey held in 2011 end. It might be detroiting now.