Survey on Semi Finals By-polls - Part 1

After major time stress out, we have made our way to sketch the final possible result of the semi final considered 18- bypoll elections.


The 18 assembly seats and 1 parliamentary seat which is the hot topic now. As the campaigning ended yesterday and the arrangements for voting are also done. The voting and result is awaited. Though we will bring the updates for you tomorrow while polling. But first we would get you a clear image of the voting and winning percentages.


We have tried extensively for analyzing win percentage, but couldn't figure out as we had clear winners in as many as 10 constituencies. Consider it as one sided poll.


Starting with Nellore Parliamentary seat. YSRCP candidate Mekapati Rajamohan reddy and Congress candidate T Subbarami reddy are the main contenders for the set. Though TDP has kept their candidate. He was not seen in campaigning nor people turned out for seeing Chandra Babu during campaign. Nellore seat is one sided game. Betting is placed on majority of MRR. YSRCP will have 2 M.P.'s in parliament now.


Tirupati the seat which was left by once PRP now Congress leader, star campaigner Chiranjeevi. He left MLA seat as he was given Rajya Sabha ticket and is now a Congress M.P. YSRCP fielded Bhumana Karunakar Reddy  and Congress gave it to Venkata Ramana. Last time Chiranjeevi won on Bhumana K Reddy with almost 15000 votes if I am not wrong. This time it is clear that Bhumana will win this seat, but majority might not be great as confusion prevails in voting for YSRCP or Congress. As both candidates have less charisma in constituency. It is triplet war here. And YSRCP can win this seat.


Being in Rayalseema, its turn for Railway Koduru, here YSRCP has Sreenivasulu and Congress has Eswaraya. Being YS Jagan's district Kadapa. In fact Jagan's arena of Rayalseema, he can win anywhere. And this seat is no different in the case. YSRCP will win this seat comfortably.


Coming to Rayachoti, another Kadapa district constituency. YSRCP candidate Amarnath Reddy who is the loyalist for Jagan. Too good loyalist will win this seat very comfortably. He has a very good bank of castes and also Lady voters. Congress fielded Ramprasad Reddy here.


Rajamapet, YSRCP candidate Amarnath Reddy contesting here. He would win very easily. He has good backing of minorities apart from top vote banks. You can say betting on majority is an issue here. Congress candidate is Mallikarjuna Reddy.


Allagada, constituency in Kurnool district, YSRCP candidate Shoba Nagi Reddy, who was part of PRP, broke bonds with chiru when he merged his party into congress and supported Jagan. She won 2009 general elections with good majority inspite of having weak PRP cadre in seema region. Now in YSRCP, her cadre is back and she is in full swing. No matter who are opponents, she will see the winning line comfortably.


Emignur, Errakota Chenna keshava reddy is the candidate contesting here from YSRCP, the hot favourite to win the seat.


Rayadurgam is having a fierce battle between YSRCP and COngress. Kapu rama chandra Reddy from YSRCP and Patil Venugopal Reddy from congress. Its unclear about certain victory here. YSRCP might pull off well here too. 


Anantapur Urban, Gurunath Reddy and Marshid Begum are top contenders from YSRCP and congress. Gurunath Reddy has minority backing and as well as other important backing of Lady voters. Vijayamma road shows have damaged congress hopes here. He would win.


That brings to an end of Rayalseema region, where Tirupati is having the toughest competition and rest all having minor. However, Allagada is important as Gangula Pratap Reddy who is in competition is strong compender but he was reluctant to participate in elections. And it is learnt, he was not interested in campaigning.


We will update the part 2 in few hours. The next coming will be the Coastal constituencies and Parakal constituency.

Vijayamma Stuns Everyone

YSRCP Governor or Party President Y S Vijayamma kick started her campaign for 18 by-polls from Narsannapet.  She reached from Vishakapatnam airport to narsanapet by road.


Before kick starting her campaign. She paid respects for her Late husband YSR at NAD Junction in Vishakapatnam. She was accompanied by Sharmila Sister of YS Jagan Mohan Reddy.


Vijayamma started her campaign on emotional note and went on to add YSR's scheme and its beneficiaries and how present Congress government is not implementing them and also burst out on Chandra Babu for teaming up with Congress and making his son to go behind bars.


Sharmila added to Vijayamma speech by saying, "Congress never allowed us to express ourselves. They shelved all programmes. They made my brother to bow in front of them. But he didn't and as a result he is being tortured and assaulted."


She went on to add a lot in her speeches and her speeches have that emotional quotient to rack in moolah. She surely hogged onto expectations over her.. Its clear that, YSRCP is now running front atleast in narsanapet and payakaraopet.


Payakaraopet was tough to win for YSRCP at the start as TDP had good cadre. But days changed. Things changed and as a result, voters also have changed. After tour of Vijayamma and Sharmila, fortunes swung towards YSRCP. Payakaraopet has registered mind boggling numbers who have come to witness campaign of duo.


Almost all 50% of crowd have lady voters, which is not a good sign for opponents. The votes of ladies are very crucial. You can't have them on your sidelines by small gifts. Indeed YSR charisma is following and flowing in ladies still.


As of now, YSRCP started their Second league campaign and it is most awaited for Jagan's return. He has drafted petition for temporary bail to campaign on behalf of his party in coming elections. We might get sentence tomorrow. If luck favours, there is no doubt  YSRCP would sweep with huge majority in all constituencies.