YSRCP wins 15, Congress wins 2, TRS 1

YSRCP covered 15 constituencies out of 18. And Congress has won 2 out of 18 participated. TRS 1 out 1 with a tough one.


TRS covered Parakala with a lot of hiccups. TRS was leading with 6000 votes and everyone thought they would pull upto 10000 but Konda Surekha gave tough fight to Bhikshapati. 


She surged upto 121 leading in round 16 and then TRS came back with 252 leading and continued miniature lead.


Finally TRS won with 1562 votes which is only a technical win but not a sentimental win. So, Surekha won hearts of Telengana people. The victory would have given a boost but still she has got the sentiment won.


A major cross voting and also some confusion between symbols. Surekha's symbol was misquoted by parties. Her symbol was quoted as Hand rather than Ceiling Fan. 


Tirupati assembly counting is still on. YSRCP is leading with more than 15000 votes. And all the candidates victorious for YSRCP have registered with a minimum victory of 15000 majority. Exception with Narsanapet with 7300 votes. 


Rayachoti assembly registered a massive victory of 55000 majority. All contestants have lost deposits here.


Nellore parliamentary seat won by YSRCP. Mekapati Rajmohan Reddy won by 2,91,000 majority.A new record in parliamentary of nellore.


With this results, there is an alarming bell rang for Congress, TDP and TRS. TRS why.... The reason is winning a constituency with 1500 votes is just a mini win as 11 independents have got almost all 1000 votes each. This created a misunderstand.


So, TDP hasn't won any seat and they have come close rather to say close. Saw, victory at distance in Anantapur and couple of other segments. 


Congress has changed its stand and still it is hitting Jagan. They haven't learnt from there mistakes. Hope they learn. We are true again. With 15 seats. 

14 lead, 1 win for YSRCP, 2 for Congress and 1 for TRS

YSRCP is leading in 14 constituencies. Rayadurgam, Macherla, Prathipadu, Railway Koddur, Payakaraopet, Udayagiri, Anantapur Urban, Ongole, Allagada, Rayachoti, Pollavaram, Narsanapet are the leading areas.


All constituencies are inching towards minimum 5000 majority. Tirupati is leading with 3000 votes. 


Narsapuram Kothapalli Subbarayudu is leading with 5200 votes on YSRCP Prasad Raju.


TRS is leading with 3500 votes in Parakala. Konda Surekha hopes almost smashed. 


Ramachandra puram also surrendered to congress with almost 7000 votes majority. Apart from these three, all are in YSRCP pocket.


As we have said earlier 15-16 will be in YSRCP count. Though many surveys said 12-16, we were spot on with 15-16. Precision is what we always urged for. Though we have taken time, but spot on.


Nellore M.P. constituency, Mekapati is leading with 52000 votes. He might get 1 lakh majority. 


Emignur is the first seat for YSRCP. Emignur is covered with over 20000 votes. It is not yet declared officially by RO. Chennakeshav Reddy is the first person to win.


Rayachoti, YSRCP candidate Srikanth Reddy is leading with 30000 votes. He is in lead right from starting with a clear distance.

Counting Starts

18 by-polls for Andhra assembly has started. As of now. YSRCP is leading in 11 and Congress leading in 2 and TRS leading in 1.

Congress leading in Tirupati with 16 votes. TRS leading in lone Telengana Parakala Seat. TRS leading with 1250 votes after first round. 

There will be a neck to neck fight here. Coming up is Gesukonda mandal votes, Surekha's backyard. If she loses there, then TRS would bag up that.

Allagada, Shoba Nagi Reddy leading with 3500 votes. Narsanapet, Krishna Das of YSRCP leading with 447. Rayachoti, Srikanth Reddy leading with 3914 votes. Narsapuram leading 194 votes

Rayadurgam leading with 398 votes. Emignur leading with 2300 votes. Pollavaram with 1881 votes. Prathipadu with 1891 votes. Macherla with 10 votes. Rajampet with 2500 votes.

Breaking, YSRCP pulled back 1 from congress. Parakala 995 votes leading for TRS, before completion of round 2.

Congress leading in Tirupati with double digit. 

TDP second in Parakala. A shocker, where is Konda Surekha....???

Anantapur Urban, 1000 votes majority for YSRCP.

Ramachandrapuram, the most talked for TDP and Congress. 453 votes leading for YSRCP.

Nellore parliament seat leading of YSRCP.

Counting tomorrow

The 18 by-polls for Andhra Pradesh assembly and 1 parliamentary seat have completed on tuesday with a record polling. On an average polling was 80% and the second highest polling was recorded in Ramachandrapuram with almost 86%, first being Narasapuram and Rayadurgam with 88%.


Once again this elections proved that City youth or people are just talkers but not the doers. Yes. Tirupati which is almost a city like Hyderabad, Vishakhapatnam, witnessed the lowest percentage in elections and much to shocker, it was way behind total or average polling.


The elections are completed and the worse part is the turn out for polling. It is just OMG. Polling which started at 8 with very low turn out, saw huge turn outs and queue which  was almost 100Mts to 200 Mts all the time till the end of polling.


The voting percentage creeped up like a tower all the time from 12 P.M. and it just went on till 5 P.M. Many surveys predicted that Jagan's YSRCP would win almost 16 seats with a range of 12-16. And TRS would win 1 and TDP or Congress by chance may win 1.


But according to our survey we predicted almost all 15-16 seats victory for Jagan's party. TRS has given a tough fight for YSRCP. But, in the latest report, it is not clear that TRS has surely got votes. In Gesukonda, Surekha's backyard. One sided voting is reportedly seen and one more mandal has also seen one sided voting for Surekha. Meanwhile, Parakal town witnessed mixed voting. As Surekha being a mass leader, there is also a slight chance that she would get out. 


Undoubtedly, BJP has fallen behind in the race here. So, TRS and YSRCP are the only persons who are running to end line or finish line. 


So, all is set for counting and according to constituencies the voting will be taking place in respective educational institutions. Counting starts tomorrow at 8 A.M and by 12 P.M. results would be clear and betting is also in full swing.


Nellore Parliament, Rayadurgam, Rayachoti, Ongole are some where betting on majority is going on. Ramchandrapuram, Parakal, Prathipadu, Anantapur where betting is being on winner.


We will be updating the big results tomorrow, We will be set with 8 A.M. tomorrow. Please do visit our blog for all updates.... Results from 8 to 2. Non Stop.

Polling ends

Poll for 18-assembly seats and 1 parliamentary seat has ended as of now. Voting percentage has hit a new high this year or this by-polls. 


As of now 70% is poll percentage and Parakala has witnessed 80% , with Ramachandrapuram being 84% as it is one of the top. The percentage has increased when compared to 2009. 


Narsanapet, Payakaraopet also witnessed 80% voting and Narsapuram with 79%. However, Prathipadu witnessed highest polling of 85%. Women voters have turned out in high number and the voting percentage has increased to a new heights after 12 P.M.


Udayagiri and Railway Kodur witnessed 73% voting. Rayadurgam, Emginur registered 68%. Anantapur Urban witnessed 66%. 


Allagada 75%, Macherla witnessed 78%, Rajampet 73%, Tirupati 55%, Rayachoti 79%.


Pollavaram 60% and Nellore M.P witnessed 68%.


Though Anantapur would have gone by more than 5% minimum. But names were not founded in list and as many as 5000 members names were missing. 


There were some incidents which shook atmosphere. Macherla, Anantapur, Prathipadu, Ongole, Railway Kodur and Rayachoti witnessed some small incidents. 


As normal manner, people who are in queue line after 5 P.M. are allowed to vote and those not are not allowed. 


According to information, it is believed that many lady voters have turned out for voting after 12P.M. A new low was witnessed in the morning almost 8% of polling was seen in first couple of hours and continued upto 12 P.M.


After 12, a sudden increase in voting percentage is seen. In a media conference held by Election officer Banwarlal. He said 50% of voting is registered upto 1 P.M. But in the last four hours it increased almost by 30%.


The figure might rise as still voting is being continued, as people in line are allowed to vote and almost all 1 to 2 percent increase can be witnessed.

Survey on Semi Finals By-polls - Part 1

After major time stress out, we have made our way to sketch the final possible result of the semi final considered 18- bypoll elections.


The 18 assembly seats and 1 parliamentary seat which is the hot topic now. As the campaigning ended yesterday and the arrangements for voting are also done. The voting and result is awaited. Though we will bring the updates for you tomorrow while polling. But first we would get you a clear image of the voting and winning percentages.


We have tried extensively for analyzing win percentage, but couldn't figure out as we had clear winners in as many as 10 constituencies. Consider it as one sided poll.


Starting with Nellore Parliamentary seat. YSRCP candidate Mekapati Rajamohan reddy and Congress candidate T Subbarami reddy are the main contenders for the set. Though TDP has kept their candidate. He was not seen in campaigning nor people turned out for seeing Chandra Babu during campaign. Nellore seat is one sided game. Betting is placed on majority of MRR. YSRCP will have 2 M.P.'s in parliament now.


Tirupati the seat which was left by once PRP now Congress leader, star campaigner Chiranjeevi. He left MLA seat as he was given Rajya Sabha ticket and is now a Congress M.P. YSRCP fielded Bhumana Karunakar Reddy  and Congress gave it to Venkata Ramana. Last time Chiranjeevi won on Bhumana K Reddy with almost 15000 votes if I am not wrong. This time it is clear that Bhumana will win this seat, but majority might not be great as confusion prevails in voting for YSRCP or Congress. As both candidates have less charisma in constituency. It is triplet war here. And YSRCP can win this seat.


Being in Rayalseema, its turn for Railway Koduru, here YSRCP has Sreenivasulu and Congress has Eswaraya. Being YS Jagan's district Kadapa. In fact Jagan's arena of Rayalseema, he can win anywhere. And this seat is no different in the case. YSRCP will win this seat comfortably.


Coming to Rayachoti, another Kadapa district constituency. YSRCP candidate Amarnath Reddy who is the loyalist for Jagan. Too good loyalist will win this seat very comfortably. He has a very good bank of castes and also Lady voters. Congress fielded Ramprasad Reddy here.


Rajamapet, YSRCP candidate Amarnath Reddy contesting here. He would win very easily. He has good backing of minorities apart from top vote banks. You can say betting on majority is an issue here. Congress candidate is Mallikarjuna Reddy.


Allagada, constituency in Kurnool district, YSRCP candidate Shoba Nagi Reddy, who was part of PRP, broke bonds with chiru when he merged his party into congress and supported Jagan. She won 2009 general elections with good majority inspite of having weak PRP cadre in seema region. Now in YSRCP, her cadre is back and she is in full swing. No matter who are opponents, she will see the winning line comfortably.


Emignur, Errakota Chenna keshava reddy is the candidate contesting here from YSRCP, the hot favourite to win the seat.


Rayadurgam is having a fierce battle between YSRCP and COngress. Kapu rama chandra Reddy from YSRCP and Patil Venugopal Reddy from congress. Its unclear about certain victory here. YSRCP might pull off well here too. 


Anantapur Urban, Gurunath Reddy and Marshid Begum are top contenders from YSRCP and congress. Gurunath Reddy has minority backing and as well as other important backing of Lady voters. Vijayamma road shows have damaged congress hopes here. He would win.


That brings to an end of Rayalseema region, where Tirupati is having the toughest competition and rest all having minor. However, Allagada is important as Gangula Pratap Reddy who is in competition is strong compender but he was reluctant to participate in elections. And it is learnt, he was not interested in campaigning.


We will update the part 2 in few hours. The next coming will be the Coastal constituencies and Parakal constituency.

Jagan's CBI custody ends

Y S  Jagan Mohan Reddy's two days CBI custody has ended today. He was earlier sent to Judicial custody by CBI court on 29 May. 


His Judicial custody will come to an end today and he will be appearing in court tomorrow as he is issued prisoner transit warrant by CBI court earlier in his second charge sheet. He along with Vijay Sai Reddy and Janani Infra executives will appear tomorrow.


He will be appearing at 10:30 A.M. tomorrow and perhaps his case would be first and he will appeal for bail which is no doubt. But the question is will he given bail or given to CBI custody. In his first sheet he was denied bail and custody for CBI which was shell shock for CBI. you can call the first odd ran on them.


So, coming days are imporatant in A.P politics as tomorrow is Jagan's hearing in his DA case and followed by elections for 18 seats and followed by results.. A busy week for analysts too. 

Campaigning ends

Campaign for 18 by-polls ends today. Perhaps by the time I complete posting this, it will have completed. Its hardly another 3 min left. 


So, the campaigning by all parties should be stopped by 5 P.M. today evening and also there should be no means of paper and liquid to flow to voters. And no e-campaign also.


All parties can now relax and stretch their calf muscles and by the time you really relax with a sip, you have your eyes on voting date. Yes, June 12 is the date and there is plenty of drama happening.


With YSRCP taking this by-polls as prestigeous, yes they have to take as they can refer this as an ultimatum to 2014 elections. Because Jagan is in Jail and nothing beyond that can happen to YSRCP. They found a new leader in the party. Sharmila Reddy has been the show stopper, campaign stealler with direct hit words.


Congress on the other hand tried to thrust the throttle, which worked very partially. They can feel happy as they have got some good responses in parts during campaigning. But the vote share will be the doubt because, majority how come and gone as there was no thunder words by congress. Congress which banked on development schemes, failed miserably in taking them into crowd.


On the flip, they concentrated on firing at YS Jagan and Sharmila. This definitely detroited them, scolding women is not a good sign or positive way in Andhra Politics. Women vote bank is very precious. In the past there are only two persons who have got this bank. One being NTR and other being YSR.


Both of them died in office and the vote bank now shifted to YSRCP, to be precise Jagan. As Jagan is in Jail there has been massive increase in following as Vijayamma and Sharmila have stepped out and took the responsibility. 


TDP, who are waiting for an opportunity are still waiting. Initial stages looked atleast TDP could get 2nd position, but now, its as difficult as getting back into throne in 2014. There was luke worm response from cadre when their supreme has come for campaigning. The reason being the local MLA's unsatisfied. What ever the reasons be, this made party to shatter their own image and as a result they have fallen into steep with this. 


So, the voters are ready, EVM's are ready, media is ready, candidates are ready and everyone is ready. Will update you all the happenings on election day.. Do try to catch the glimpse of survey we did... Our Survey will be updated tonight..

Comments good, Response poor for Congress

Congress party going into elections to get back all 18 seats which got emptied after no confidence vote against them. 


They have to get back all of them including Triupati seat which was left vacant after Chiranjeevi going to Rajyasabha. 


After Jagan's arrest, Congress had only one thing to do, exploit the advantage of Jagan's arrest. lash on Jagan and his party, but that didn't happen. They fell flat. They targeted as if they were new to politics. 


They targeted Vijayamma and repeatedly saying, Vijayamma is making a controversy of YSR's death. She doesn't know how to make her son grow and gag gag. Not even one leader didn't target the principles.


Chiranjeevi is failing miserably to turn the moderate turnout to votes and same is the case with Botsa and CM. They are giving media statements but there are very poor responses from masses when they say negative about YSR.


YSR a chief weapon for both Congress and YSRCP. YSRCP used it from scratch and now they have that banking. Congress as usually with group and team politics with in made them to watch the flow of sympathy.


Many anti YSR leaders in Congress, repeatedly made a bad remark at top politicos and this made them to pay a hefty price. Chiranjeevi proving very poor in converting votes from crowd turnout. And no good leader or super speaker for them is proving a lot of trouble.


There is no unity in Congress party. Every one cries out hell on opponents where media people don't understand the news and common people just turn away from that. It is good to have second cadre but it is bad to have all second cadre in first position. 


Today in CM's campaign camera didn't pan to people present. Poor response drawing is making angry for contenders in elections. Huge money spent on campaigning and even star leaders also drawing average crowd and getting luke worm response from crowds is causing them choke in back.


On the flip side, not a strong bass voice Sharmila is kicking on in campaign by fantastic approach and response from crowds is super. This is making Contenders to look at their fortune once. Its danger bells ringing for congress if they don't start concentrating on positives. Remember YSR led successfully in 2009 elections by just concentrating on what we did, what we will do. Yes he did attack TDP but he did for 10% and 90% he only said programmes and programmes.


So, Congress leaders get ready with some interesting tools and save yourselves. 

No violence after Jagan arrest. YSRCP losing steam?

After YSRCP chief YS Jagan Mohan Reddy's arrest, there was no big movement in bandh. YSRCP leaders declare bandh as it is a mandatory. But where is the bandh seen?


Apart from YSR Kadapa, Anantapur no where bandh was effective. Though every district had got hit in financial manner. Infact RTC buses have been suspended and also there was rackus created by last cadre.


As many as 6 districts reported close to normal life. Though many are in telengana region. Where YSRCP doesn't have that great cadre when compared to any other region in A.P. But, why they didn't have any struggles, lathi charges or anything?


Reasons:


First of all Jagan's party has no steam loss. Its simply because, violence created will give an opportunity to opposition to win elections and his arrest will be nothing but stupidity. If there is steam loss, there will be no record gathering for his tours. Jagan attracted as much as twice gathering then TDP or Congress leaders. 


Jagan's arrest is not a sudden or new sensation. It was well expected by every one in state. There was surprise when Jagan wasn't arrested on day one and two. He was arrested. But bringing Vijayamma to mass was a safe bet. Initial reports said, only 14 or 16 would be in YSRCP basket but now all 18 can be in YSRCP basket. Which would bring their bench strength to 20. And it may well reach 30 in no time.


Secondly, Jagan repeated that no violence. He in fact wants this elections happen and sweep, irrespective of his position. His strategy is unclear there. It is unclear that how long this sentiment work out. People get fed up until 2014 with repeating dialogues.


But that is the point. Jagan kept on saying YSR is leader and is GOD and it worked out and still working. Remember he died in 2009 and elections were in 2011. Two years and his majority doubled. Kovvur elections the same scene repeated. Three years was that. Now with just 2 years left and insecurity in State and Center with prices and political happenings. It is believed that elections may arrive in 2013 also. 


Many survey's predicted hung or coalition government will form. People are not ready for Congress led UPA or BJP led NDA. Where UPA is with corruption and scams. BJP is with corruption and religion-ism. So, there role would be cut out when local parties have upper hand. They can be single largest party but cannot have anything in hand with out this local support.




In that case, YSRCP comes as King Maker. It has 42 seats and if they win atleast 30. Its a watch. CBI case and everything will come to an end. 


Third, Vijayamma may not be good speaker. But when she speaks, she speaks out everything from heart and hit many hearts. You can see many women coming to meetings now. After all, ladies will know a lady's problem. Sentiment is forever with them. Men's voting has come down in recent days, but women voting share is on raise forever. Jagan is banking on that and surely a mind blogging strategy which many experts will never care.


Jagan arrest can create havoc after 12 June. Once elections are over. YSRCP cadre has nothing to lose and people are on track with their works. Then the charge-sheet issue comes and they can make a hell out of havoc there. They can burn and can kick. So, its not over yet. 


All the above analysis is author's view. He is not accounted for anything with happenings after this. Read in clean manner. Opaque understanding is appreciated. 

Jagan attacks Opponents

After the super victory in Kovvur by Jagan aide Mr. Prasanna Kumar Reddy. It was nothing less than a Morale boost for YSRCP and YS Jagan Mohan Reddy. This victory meant a lot to Jagan for many reasons. But the primarily being, his charisma and Late YSR's sympathy wave.

He has numerous reasons to celebrate... Some of them are listed below:

1. Jagan didn't allow Prasanna Kumar Reddy to spend money and drinks.
2. Its Jagan's first battle outside his fort Kadapa.
3. This result will show a major effect on coming 17 by-polls.

and many reasons.

After the victory, Jagan thanked people of Kovvur and in ChilukuluriPeta where he was in Odarupu yatra, he criticized his opponents and also showed his x-factor in his talking and thinking.

He marked Chandra Babu Naidu as false person and infact he showed him as a person with wrong attitude towards people. He attacked Babu primarily on his illegal assets, CBI enquiry on his assets and classes to students on scams and corruption.

He also attacked Congress for its poor governance and ministers for making a merry-perry to Delhi for small favors to our farmers. He went on to say that, if he wins 35 seats of 42 parliament. He would bring Union ministry posts of Railway, Agriculture to state M.P's.

The speech of Jagan was truly appealing the masses, as he wasn't being in much radar as he has been continuing his Yatra for more than two months in Guntur district alone. So, after the victory in Kovvur, it was a huge meeting set up and the masses turned out in thousands. Considerably major or more than any meeting held by any leader recently in election campaign.

Fresh Survey on By-polls

The By-polls in A.P is now concerned situation for Congress. As they might lose these 7 seats. Infact the topic going in Congress Circles is how far are we going to fare in this elections ? Well there is something to rejoice for Congress according to latest survey reports.


Going into details, the 6 seats in telengana region are showing off great interest as Kovvur Assembly seat would win by YSRCP. Until and unless any magic happens they lose. Its even laughable to ask such type of questions.


The recent survey suggests that TRS is going to win major seats but the problem is that the percentage share may not increase when compared to others. The survey suggests that there is a chance for Congress and TDP to improve their vote share from their previous outings. If you consider previous elections held in 2010, both Congress and TDP showed pathetic performance.


The performance of both the parties is repeatedly held positive this time as there is a slight chance to improve their performance. But the big threat for them is in the form of BJP, where BJP is gaining higher vote share than ever imagined. Even though, they might not win, but they are giving a strong fight for Mahboobnagar seat.


Seeing the way BJP is heading in Telengana, they are sure that they have no chance of gaining any momentum in Coastal and Rayalseema region as Jagan's YSRCP can sweep majority seats anytime from now. So, to their much delight, the recent Kishan Reddy yatra has brought a lot of favour and positive to them in TG region. In that way, they have been a tough contestants to BJP as far as MahboobNagar is concerned.


Both TDP and Congress have no choice of rejoice as they have to deal with their performance in Kovvur segment. This particularly being the seat of TDP, now is quite comfortably jumping into YSRCP's count. If both congress and tdp put a poor show then it is unevitable for them to throttle with Jagan.


Remember, TDP and Congress have to consider one major fact that they are going into elections without YSRCP in telengana region. If Jagan tours here with his trademark style, he may improve his share and may go on to win some of the seats in TG region, which will minimize the run of Congress, TDP and BJP. However there may be a little effect on TRS party. If they continue their heat until 2014 election.


However the survey report may change for last minute as KCR is yet to canvas in some segments, which might turn people's emotions and minds towards TRS again. In that case, the vote shares will be reset-ed to same position from where it is left. It is sure that TRS and YSRCP will sit certainly after this elections. 


We will try to update the latest survey by elections time. 


This post is with respective to Author. He is not held responsible for any faults. Please read the post and share.

Its getting tougher for Congress and easier to Jagan

As U.P results are still not out of heads for Congress chiefs, it has been a real tough task in A.P. The reason, simple, not many leaders in congress are really interested to contest in the forthcoming elections of the disqualified MLA's of Jagan.


It is now believed that, Congress has no more charisma in state, even though Chiru entered, as he himself no very well that he is weak in Politics and that is the reason he is trying for Rajya Sabha seat, which is making political analysts think that, will Chiru win back his own seat, if gone to elections again?


The axed MLA's are pretty confident on winning back with better majority than 2009. According to some statements from second ranked leaders, Jagan has ordered his MLA's to start campaign irrespective of date of contest, as he believes the elections would be definitely before June as the tenure of President, Vice-President is about to complete and new faces have to be elected.


However this MLA's are very confident and have started to negotiate with all local leaders and trying to pull the opponents into their stream, which would make spineless for both Congress and TDP. Many seats like Parakala, Rayachoti and others are already being declared as winners as there is no big fight to be appearing.


Congress leaders are not happy with the proceedings of the A.P politics as they feel, its getting easier to Jagan. And Jagan who is a Smart player in politics, is converting even a stone thrown at him as jewel. He is basking in glory of sympathy and pride. Many congress men feel that it is safe for them not to contest in any type of elections until 2014, as it may detroit their image in their own constituency as D L Ravindra Reddy. D L couldn't be success even in his segment when contested on Jagan last time for Parliamentary.


Congress Chiefs are finding it difficult to find a proper candidate for next by-polls, and much to their fear, no candidate is showing any interest. Its the same case with TDP too. Generally, Chandra Babu Naidu has got reputation for energetic and Critical politics, but for some time, he is falling very flat. Right from 2009 elections where he couldn't convert his schemes into votes and later couldn't capitalize on the group politics been played in Congress with absolute zero governance in state. 


For his worse, its Jagan and KCR, who are making their brains to work and lay practical plans and succeeding. Both Jagan and KCR are bitter rivals for Chandra Babu. As, Jagan created a havoc with his charisma and seized many of TDP's constituencies and having a better and fair edge. Meanwhile, KCR who was a member of his team suddenly became a pro to another party which cleared away TDP in many segments in Telengana region.


However, the 17 seats would be retained by YSRCP as of now, well advance survey says. Though people, may not turn out their heads around as fast as in the gap of 2 months. If Congress wins back atleast one seat, then it would boost up party's performance unless they capitalize.


This article is Author's feeling/analysis. He is not held any responsibility for any discripencaries. Please share the news item.

Botsa Over Confident on By-Polls

We are talking about the By-polls to be held in Andhra Pradesh. Yes, Pradesh Congress Committee chairman Mr. Botsa Satyanaryana has promised to High Command about the victory of the by-polls. It is believed that, Botsa said, "winning or not, this elections will do no harm to party or Government. But we are trying best to win all segments of elections."


It is also heard that, none of the top leaders really believed on the matter as the intensive campaign by Rahul Gandhi in Uttar Pradesh hasn't yielded any result and no star campaigner is present at the moment for congress in Andhra, how would they win?


Many felt Botsa should have given correct picture rather than his over optimistic words to high command, which in recent years costed Congress. If we take a dig at politics, It is because of KK, VH and Shankar Rao, that Ys Jagan has left party making it bizzare situation with no star in their home. Even though they pulled Chiru in their stream, he is nothing but a toy in political arena.


After this big blunders still congress leaders don't learn and keep on hyping the high command about the pretty okay situation which is not okay in A.P. In this by polls, other than Minister D.K. Aruna, no minister is really showing any interest nor believed to campaign. As minister Aruna, took a lot of pride in giving tickets to her person, wants him to win at any cost, to show up her stamina in her district.


It is said that, YSRCP would walk away with Kovvur seat and TRS would run away with atleast 3 in Telengana region, where 2 would be tough and 1 would be in their kitty, if they take much care than now. The tough are MahboobNagar and Nagam Janardhan Reddy's Nagar Kurnool.


According to some stats, it is clear that the victory is certain for the parties. If the false reports continue to Delhi, they will witness the real tragic end in South India. After the much shameful episode of Jagan outing from Congress, it is rumoured that VH, KK, Shankar Rao words least considered infact neglected by High Command.


Now, this makes sense that, if you have hatred on one, you show it directly or wise you become bad in all cases. Hope, Botsa doesn't face this situation in future.


This article might contain mistakes. This post has nothing to deal with Author or his feelings. Author is not authorized of any mistakes. Please do read and comment and share.

PRO's AXED--- JAGAN vs GOVT

The heat is on again... The wait is over for Political fans.... Another set of by polls coming up now and Congress faces heat again.... The Pro Jagan MLA's are suspended by Speaker on going against basis, not of all them, but mostly all. Shoba Nagi Reddy's resignation was accepted by Speaker  Nadendla Manohar Reddy.


Coming to details, the 16 congress rebel MLA's who have voted against Congress govt during No Confidence motion were suspended by Speaker yesterday night. The suspension is no surprise for MLA's as they have literally pleaded and also threatened Speaker to take action against them as all were confident enough on their own victory.


The action on the 16 Mla's was taken on the basis of violating party whip and also indulging in anti party activities under constitution 10 article.


While, the action was taken against all 17 at one go is a record in country's history. The major thing being asked is will Congress achieve atleast deposit in all 17. Infact each and every MLA were happy and welcomed the decision of disqualification and are ready to enter battle field with head aiming high.


When asked Konda Surekha, suspended Mla from Parakala constituency said, "The by polls which were much awaited by the people, will reflect the interest in Jagan's captaincy to rule the state and also will show way to arrogant Congress."


When asked Srikanth Reddy, he quoted " We sacrificed our seats on two grounds, the first one is for sake of farmers, as Congress is never concerned of farmers, we would like to teach them a lesson." quiring about his victory, he replied, " I resigned for farmers, they will elect me back as my people know me better than any media and I resigned forsake of Legend YSR Reddy. Each and every person know how YSR is. You can bet on my victory(he sighed)."


Babu Rao said, " No force on earth can stop our victory, no conspiracy will make us to step down."


Seeing the arrogant and toughness of MLA's it is now time to decide for Congress and TDP to get into action and win or might get back deposits, where second would be lot easier then first one. 


Balineni Srinivasa Reddy                               Ongole


Pilli Subhash Chandra Bose                    Ramachandra puram, East Godavari District


Konda Surekha                                        Parakala, Warangal District


Mekapati Chandrasekhar Reddy                 Udayagiri, Nellore District


Dharmana Krishna Das                             Narsannapet, Srikakulam District


M Suchitra                                              


Amarnatha Reddy                                     Rajampet, YSR KADAPA District


T Balaraju                                                Polavaram, Eluru


G Babu Rao                                                  Payakaraopeta, 


G Srikanth reddy                                      Rayachoti, YSR KADAPA District


Kapu Ramachandra Reddy                         Rayadurgam, Anantapur District


Srinivasulu                                            Railway Koduru, YSR KADAPA District


Prasada Raju                                           Narasapuram


Gurunath Reddy                                       Anantapur, Anantapur District 


Chennakesava Reddy                                Kakinada Urban, East Godavari Dist


P RamaKrishna Reddy                                  Macherla


Sucharita, Amarnatha Reddy, T Balaraju, G Babu Rao, G Srikanth Reddy, Kapu Ramachandra Reddy, Srinivasulu, Prasada Raju, Gurunath Reddy, Chennakesava Reddy and P Ramakrishna Reddy.

Analysis of By-Polls in Andhra Pradesh

With Election Commission releasing notification for 7 vacant Assembly seats. The time has come to prove the stiffness and dug of the parties who are really threatening each other in media.


Out of 7 seats, 6 are from Telengana region and 1 from Coastal Andhra region. With YSR CP clearing that they are not interested in contesting from any of telengana seat as they feel that all the leaders resigned for sake of Telengana and they don't have any intentions of taking over T- factor. With statement made clear, they have only one  seat from Andhra to contest and which was resigned by Prassana Kumar Reddy.N for including Late CM YSR Reddy in CBI report. He was MLA on TDP ticket from Kovvur constituency but was loyalist to YSR Jagan Reddy right from winning election in 2009.


The rest 6 seats are from Telengana region. They are:


Mahaboob Nagar


Kollapur


Nagar Kurnool


Adilabad


Station Ghanpur


Kama Reddy


Mahaboob Nagar seat vacant as MLA N Rajeswar Reddy was driven by untimely death. Congress named Mutyala Prakash instead of widow Vijayalakshmi, meanwhile TRS has also named its person, making Vijayalakshmi as independent to contest.


With unknown of her candidature one can expect TRS victory here, if they campaign at high levels or wise it would be a tussle between Congress and TRS. If at all Vijayalakshmi is set to contest as Independent and could intensify her campaigning then it would be a cake walk for her victory as there will be major twist towards her on Sympathy factor.


Kollapur seat became vacant as Juppali Krishna Rao resigned to Congress and MLA seat and joined in TRS. Now, P Vishnuvardhan Reddy has been handed responsibility to win back Congress seat. Minister D K Aruna and Juppalli were having hits in congress and now Juppalli joining in TRS, She made her impact felt on High Command by appointing her loyalist to contest against Krishna Rao.


It should be very easy to take back seat by Juppalli as he has been struggling for Telengana as separate state and was attracted by many other people of other constituency. So, its not a big tough task for JKR to win and add number to TRS. Its really tough for P Vishnuvardhan Reddy to win.


Nagar Kurnool, seat vacant as Sitting MLA Nagam Janardhan Reddy resigned for telengana cause and also an additional reason of Pathified relation by his then supremo Chandra Babu Naidu towards telengana. 


Nagam Janardhan Reddy will win this seat. That's what report says... Its just matter of his majority, though it would not be a major.


Station Ghanpur is to witness the battle between once i.e., Ex- MLA Kadiyam Sri Hari. T Rajaiah from congress resigned here. It would be really interesting fight here. TDP is just trying to get back in Telengana with this seat, while TRS is confident of sweeping this seat also.


Other seats are also of the same case, where fight between TRS and Congress would be seen, but majority would be won by TRS. Infact there might be all win for TRS.


Meanwhile,Kovvur seat would be won by YSR CP candidate N. Prassana Kumar Reddy over TDP's SomiSekhar Reddy. Congress candidates were reluctant to contest from here. Both YSR CP and TDP have started campaigning here. And YSRCP supreme Jagan would be campaigning here in 2 rounds. The first being on March 2nd. It is said that, Prasanna has good base in here.


Somisekhar and Prasanna Kumar are relatives. This being twist. No permanent friends and relatives in politics apply here.


That is the analysis of by polls in Andhra Pradesh. Lets wait for results. March 18 is action day and March 21 is decision day. 


The analysis done here is of basic knowledge and situations present in respective constituencies and also the x factors of candidates and parties. Author does not hold any responsibility for discrepancies. However scrutinized information is made available here for sake of betterment and flexibility.