YSRCP wins 15, Congress wins 2, TRS 1

YSRCP covered 15 constituencies out of 18. And Congress has won 2 out of 18 participated. TRS 1 out 1 with a tough one.


TRS covered Parakala with a lot of hiccups. TRS was leading with 6000 votes and everyone thought they would pull upto 10000 but Konda Surekha gave tough fight to Bhikshapati. 


She surged upto 121 leading in round 16 and then TRS came back with 252 leading and continued miniature lead.


Finally TRS won with 1562 votes which is only a technical win but not a sentimental win. So, Surekha won hearts of Telengana people. The victory would have given a boost but still she has got the sentiment won.


A major cross voting and also some confusion between symbols. Surekha's symbol was misquoted by parties. Her symbol was quoted as Hand rather than Ceiling Fan. 


Tirupati assembly counting is still on. YSRCP is leading with more than 15000 votes. And all the candidates victorious for YSRCP have registered with a minimum victory of 15000 majority. Exception with Narsanapet with 7300 votes. 


Rayachoti assembly registered a massive victory of 55000 majority. All contestants have lost deposits here.


Nellore parliamentary seat won by YSRCP. Mekapati Rajmohan Reddy won by 2,91,000 majority.A new record in parliamentary of nellore.


With this results, there is an alarming bell rang for Congress, TDP and TRS. TRS why.... The reason is winning a constituency with 1500 votes is just a mini win as 11 independents have got almost all 1000 votes each. This created a misunderstand.


So, TDP hasn't won any seat and they have come close rather to say close. Saw, victory at distance in Anantapur and couple of other segments. 


Congress has changed its stand and still it is hitting Jagan. They haven't learnt from there mistakes. Hope they learn. We are true again. With 15 seats. 

14 lead, 1 win for YSRCP, 2 for Congress and 1 for TRS

YSRCP is leading in 14 constituencies. Rayadurgam, Macherla, Prathipadu, Railway Koddur, Payakaraopet, Udayagiri, Anantapur Urban, Ongole, Allagada, Rayachoti, Pollavaram, Narsanapet are the leading areas.


All constituencies are inching towards minimum 5000 majority. Tirupati is leading with 3000 votes. 


Narsapuram Kothapalli Subbarayudu is leading with 5200 votes on YSRCP Prasad Raju.


TRS is leading with 3500 votes in Parakala. Konda Surekha hopes almost smashed. 


Ramachandra puram also surrendered to congress with almost 7000 votes majority. Apart from these three, all are in YSRCP pocket.


As we have said earlier 15-16 will be in YSRCP count. Though many surveys said 12-16, we were spot on with 15-16. Precision is what we always urged for. Though we have taken time, but spot on.


Nellore M.P. constituency, Mekapati is leading with 52000 votes. He might get 1 lakh majority. 


Emignur is the first seat for YSRCP. Emignur is covered with over 20000 votes. It is not yet declared officially by RO. Chennakeshav Reddy is the first person to win.


Rayachoti, YSRCP candidate Srikanth Reddy is leading with 30000 votes. He is in lead right from starting with a clear distance.

Counting Starts

18 by-polls for Andhra assembly has started. As of now. YSRCP is leading in 11 and Congress leading in 2 and TRS leading in 1.

Congress leading in Tirupati with 16 votes. TRS leading in lone Telengana Parakala Seat. TRS leading with 1250 votes after first round. 

There will be a neck to neck fight here. Coming up is Gesukonda mandal votes, Surekha's backyard. If she loses there, then TRS would bag up that.

Allagada, Shoba Nagi Reddy leading with 3500 votes. Narsanapet, Krishna Das of YSRCP leading with 447. Rayachoti, Srikanth Reddy leading with 3914 votes. Narsapuram leading 194 votes

Rayadurgam leading with 398 votes. Emignur leading with 2300 votes. Pollavaram with 1881 votes. Prathipadu with 1891 votes. Macherla with 10 votes. Rajampet with 2500 votes.

Breaking, YSRCP pulled back 1 from congress. Parakala 995 votes leading for TRS, before completion of round 2.

Congress leading in Tirupati with double digit. 

TDP second in Parakala. A shocker, where is Konda Surekha....???

Anantapur Urban, 1000 votes majority for YSRCP.

Ramachandrapuram, the most talked for TDP and Congress. 453 votes leading for YSRCP.

Nellore parliament seat leading of YSRCP.

Counting tomorrow

The 18 by-polls for Andhra Pradesh assembly and 1 parliamentary seat have completed on tuesday with a record polling. On an average polling was 80% and the second highest polling was recorded in Ramachandrapuram with almost 86%, first being Narasapuram and Rayadurgam with 88%.


Once again this elections proved that City youth or people are just talkers but not the doers. Yes. Tirupati which is almost a city like Hyderabad, Vishakhapatnam, witnessed the lowest percentage in elections and much to shocker, it was way behind total or average polling.


The elections are completed and the worse part is the turn out for polling. It is just OMG. Polling which started at 8 with very low turn out, saw huge turn outs and queue which  was almost 100Mts to 200 Mts all the time till the end of polling.


The voting percentage creeped up like a tower all the time from 12 P.M. and it just went on till 5 P.M. Many surveys predicted that Jagan's YSRCP would win almost 16 seats with a range of 12-16. And TRS would win 1 and TDP or Congress by chance may win 1.


But according to our survey we predicted almost all 15-16 seats victory for Jagan's party. TRS has given a tough fight for YSRCP. But, in the latest report, it is not clear that TRS has surely got votes. In Gesukonda, Surekha's backyard. One sided voting is reportedly seen and one more mandal has also seen one sided voting for Surekha. Meanwhile, Parakal town witnessed mixed voting. As Surekha being a mass leader, there is also a slight chance that she would get out. 


Undoubtedly, BJP has fallen behind in the race here. So, TRS and YSRCP are the only persons who are running to end line or finish line. 


So, all is set for counting and according to constituencies the voting will be taking place in respective educational institutions. Counting starts tomorrow at 8 A.M and by 12 P.M. results would be clear and betting is also in full swing.


Nellore Parliament, Rayadurgam, Rayachoti, Ongole are some where betting on majority is going on. Ramchandrapuram, Parakal, Prathipadu, Anantapur where betting is being on winner.


We will be updating the big results tomorrow, We will be set with 8 A.M. tomorrow. Please do visit our blog for all updates.... Results from 8 to 2. Non Stop.

Jagan's CBI custody ends

Y S  Jagan Mohan Reddy's two days CBI custody has ended today. He was earlier sent to Judicial custody by CBI court on 29 May. 


His Judicial custody will come to an end today and he will be appearing in court tomorrow as he is issued prisoner transit warrant by CBI court earlier in his second charge sheet. He along with Vijay Sai Reddy and Janani Infra executives will appear tomorrow.


He will be appearing at 10:30 A.M. tomorrow and perhaps his case would be first and he will appeal for bail which is no doubt. But the question is will he given bail or given to CBI custody. In his first sheet he was denied bail and custody for CBI which was shell shock for CBI. you can call the first odd ran on them.


So, coming days are imporatant in A.P politics as tomorrow is Jagan's hearing in his DA case and followed by elections for 18 seats and followed by results.. A busy week for analysts too. 

No violence after Jagan arrest. YSRCP losing steam?

After YSRCP chief YS Jagan Mohan Reddy's arrest, there was no big movement in bandh. YSRCP leaders declare bandh as it is a mandatory. But where is the bandh seen?


Apart from YSR Kadapa, Anantapur no where bandh was effective. Though every district had got hit in financial manner. Infact RTC buses have been suspended and also there was rackus created by last cadre.


As many as 6 districts reported close to normal life. Though many are in telengana region. Where YSRCP doesn't have that great cadre when compared to any other region in A.P. But, why they didn't have any struggles, lathi charges or anything?


Reasons:


First of all Jagan's party has no steam loss. Its simply because, violence created will give an opportunity to opposition to win elections and his arrest will be nothing but stupidity. If there is steam loss, there will be no record gathering for his tours. Jagan attracted as much as twice gathering then TDP or Congress leaders. 


Jagan's arrest is not a sudden or new sensation. It was well expected by every one in state. There was surprise when Jagan wasn't arrested on day one and two. He was arrested. But bringing Vijayamma to mass was a safe bet. Initial reports said, only 14 or 16 would be in YSRCP basket but now all 18 can be in YSRCP basket. Which would bring their bench strength to 20. And it may well reach 30 in no time.


Secondly, Jagan repeated that no violence. He in fact wants this elections happen and sweep, irrespective of his position. His strategy is unclear there. It is unclear that how long this sentiment work out. People get fed up until 2014 with repeating dialogues.


But that is the point. Jagan kept on saying YSR is leader and is GOD and it worked out and still working. Remember he died in 2009 and elections were in 2011. Two years and his majority doubled. Kovvur elections the same scene repeated. Three years was that. Now with just 2 years left and insecurity in State and Center with prices and political happenings. It is believed that elections may arrive in 2013 also. 


Many survey's predicted hung or coalition government will form. People are not ready for Congress led UPA or BJP led NDA. Where UPA is with corruption and scams. BJP is with corruption and religion-ism. So, there role would be cut out when local parties have upper hand. They can be single largest party but cannot have anything in hand with out this local support.




In that case, YSRCP comes as King Maker. It has 42 seats and if they win atleast 30. Its a watch. CBI case and everything will come to an end. 


Third, Vijayamma may not be good speaker. But when she speaks, she speaks out everything from heart and hit many hearts. You can see many women coming to meetings now. After all, ladies will know a lady's problem. Sentiment is forever with them. Men's voting has come down in recent days, but women voting share is on raise forever. Jagan is banking on that and surely a mind blogging strategy which many experts will never care.


Jagan arrest can create havoc after 12 June. Once elections are over. YSRCP cadre has nothing to lose and people are on track with their works. Then the charge-sheet issue comes and they can make a hell out of havoc there. They can burn and can kick. So, its not over yet. 


All the above analysis is author's view. He is not accounted for anything with happenings after this. Read in clean manner. Opaque understanding is appreciated. 

ByPolls Results

The time has come for the 7 by-poll results.


As we predicted YSRCP would win Kovvur and TRS would sweep by-polls.


According to latest news, YSRCP has got a respectable majority of 25,000 + votes after 15 rounds... 


TRS won 4 seats out 6...  BJP is giving a tough fight for TRS.. At present 17th round is going on and BJP is leading with 200 votes. Slight improvisation may occur. As of now, its tough to call.


Nagam Janardhan Reddy contended as independent and won Nagar Kurnool with back up of TRS.


Nagam won with majority of 20000 votes over Congress candidate.


Meanwhile, Kama reddi constituency witnessed highest majority out of 7 with Gampa Govardha Reddy getting 75000+ votes and maintained the majority of 44466 votes. TRS maintained its lead all over the run in the result. TDP lost deposit here.


Station Ghanpur was also sealed by TRS with a majority of 33000 votes. Rajaiah from TRS won here. He also maintained his lead all over the run. Meanwhile, Congress lost its deposit here.


Mahboob Nagar is witnessing a tough fight, as of now 1459 votes majority is being carried by BJP candidate Yeram Srinivas Reddy over TRS's Ibrahim. As soon as the counting began, TRSwas in position 4 and then they have come to lead and now they are in second position. It is almost fix now that BJP would win here. 


Adilabad seat sealed by Jogu Ramana TRS Candidate, Ramanna won with a majority almost 25000 votes. Ramanna moved to TRS from TDP. And TDP here sits in third position.


Jupalli Krishna Reddy from Kollapur constituency won with a majority of almost 13000 votes. Jupalli moved from Congress. Congress here sits in position 2. But the interesting thing is Krishna Rao's majority was substantially decreased due to misunderstanding of Auto Symbol as Car and confusion of Nagam candidature in Kollapur.