Showing posts with label TRS. Show all posts
Showing posts with label TRS. Show all posts

Saturday, 16 June 2012

What's the future for Parties and individuals???

YSRCP emerging victorious in 85% seats has led to downfall of many parties and Individuals. If we  take a close look, YSRCp won convincingly with 15000 majority in almost all seats except Narsanapet.


Although, YSRCp couldn't manage a win in Ramachandrapuram, Narsapuram and Parakala. They would be very happy as the majority was very weak for Narsapuram and Parakala. Parakala was a thriller, an IPL T20 ishtyle counting was seen.


With Congress managing two wins, they have no reason to smile. They have lost deposits in 7 constituencies. Which is not entertaining. This clearly states Jagan's anti incumbancy is not what you have to target. Its just what we have done and what we have to do..


This elections gave a dead blow to Chiranjeevi. He assured high command of minimum 6 seats victory, out of his promise only one came, Narsapuram is a bonus. His hopes of being a cabinet minister have become thin now. So, its really tough for him to get a position, as no person from state will really support.


With Congress hoping for a charismatic leader. Which has been a mirage for them, is still hoping. They pinned hopes on Chiranjeevi as the saviour, though the cadre felt its a foolish one. When you have a power house like Jagan in your camp and you throw home out and get Chiranjeevi in, its your foolishness.


Chiranjeevi couldn't win when he had a party, what will he don, when a force like Jagan is threatening. Exclusive words said by an MLA and some cadre leaders.


Today, in press meet. Congress candidate from Tirupati, had tears rolled out, focusing Chiranjeevi's unfaithablity in Tirupati MLA. He said, "some leaders have worked hard for my defeat, thanks to them." This made many heart break as he was literally crying out.


TDP's image definitely took a beat but they can bounce but not in 2014 certainly. They lost deposits in 5 assembly and parliamentary. That makes clear that they are not going to get any seat in parliament this time, mostly might not get. Assembly seats are equally tough. 


TDP is concentrating on Jagan and his illegal wealth. They are unable to understand, why people don't believe in their words. Simple, they still feel Chandra Babu is not right man and secondly, Jagan repeated Congress and TDP are one and saying that still TDP say Jagan is illegal, that's what Congress is saying. So, Congress and TDP use the same weapon and this makes they are one.


People come to meetings, listen and leave. But the impact lies with those who are with the people. Jagan was in people consistently. You could hardly see a day where Sakshi paper or television didn't have a road show of Jagan held. 


TDP and Congress on flip, never got into people till elections and the good, great approach of Sharmila and Vijayamma, they were on top notch right from word go. Though Vijayamma had little hiccups in beginning day, she was perfect by end. On the other side, Sharmila was a roaring success right from day 1. 


YSRCP cadre were jubiliant as they had a strong leader yet again. Jagan's exist was properly covered upto 90% by Sharmila. Though her voice pitch is low, her essence and elagance give view of YSR, which was the straight impact in people. 


As leaders and parties are busy analyzing, TV channels already analyzed the future. You can see, a big analysis part in tomorrow's every paper. They said just one thing, 2014 a year for JAGAN and his FAN. Though it is 2 years, Sharmila and Vijayamma will run the party with ease. They will take suggestions from Jagan. It isn't a big deal. This case will continue very long, that is for sure. According to me, he may get bail on June 25 and will get arrested again for the next polls.


As far as my knowledge, YSRCP is in full throttle, they will continue this. There strength is 17 now. It can touch to 19 or 20 in coming 3 to 4 months, as 2 MLA's Ranga Rao and Nani done with their resignation. 


TDP is on back foot, by large it would not get into any throttle, if they stop acting as pro to Congress. They should search new things to attack Jagan. Congress, will lose the south hold completely, if they continue to portray YSR as an anti element and Sonia Gandhi is true leader. Enough guys, Sonia Gandhi is no more a goddess. Her place is occupied by YSR now. 


So, as national media, state media and survey reports that a bright future for YSRCP and dim future for Congress and TDP. Thats what our pick is too.


The telengana sentiment is also having a hiccup here. Though, TRS lost in Mahbubnagar and won by death in Parakala. It is tough time, as they have to regroup and get themselves back in race. You can't sit in home and relax till elections come. Remember, Jagan never sat in home. He hardly had any rest in these 15 months.

BJP is still not finding any answer in A.P. Though they thought they had a sniff chance in A.P by saying Telengana will be given. It is still doubt for them as they are in fourth position in Parakala. As far as TDP and Congress are concerned with Telengana. They are in last positions. 5000 votes is all what Congress got. 



They can say reasons. Reasons are in number after you lose. But your soul knows everything about victory and lose. Leaders check yourself



Friday, 15 June 2012

YSRCP wins 15, Congress wins 2, TRS 1

YSRCP covered 15 constituencies out of 18. And Congress has won 2 out of 18 participated. TRS 1 out 1 with a tough one.


TRS covered Parakala with a lot of hiccups. TRS was leading with 6000 votes and everyone thought they would pull upto 10000 but Konda Surekha gave tough fight to Bhikshapati. 


She surged upto 121 leading in round 16 and then TRS came back with 252 leading and continued miniature lead.


Finally TRS won with 1562 votes which is only a technical win but not a sentimental win. So, Surekha won hearts of Telengana people. The victory would have given a boost but still she has got the sentiment won.


A major cross voting and also some confusion between symbols. Surekha's symbol was misquoted by parties. Her symbol was quoted as Hand rather than Ceiling Fan. 


Tirupati assembly counting is still on. YSRCP is leading with more than 15000 votes. And all the candidates victorious for YSRCP have registered with a minimum victory of 15000 majority. Exception with Narsanapet with 7300 votes. 


Rayachoti assembly registered a massive victory of 55000 majority. All contestants have lost deposits here.


Nellore parliamentary seat won by YSRCP. Mekapati Rajmohan Reddy won by 2,91,000 majority.A new record in parliamentary of nellore.


With this results, there is an alarming bell rang for Congress, TDP and TRS. TRS why.... The reason is winning a constituency with 1500 votes is just a mini win as 11 independents have got almost all 1000 votes each. This created a misunderstand.


So, TDP hasn't won any seat and they have come close rather to say close. Saw, victory at distance in Anantapur and couple of other segments. 


Congress has changed its stand and still it is hitting Jagan. They haven't learnt from there mistakes. Hope they learn. We are true again. With 15 seats. 

Scene shifts in Parakala... YSRCP covering maximum

The lone telengana region constituency, Parakala. TRS candidate Bhikshapati maintained 6000 votes upto round 13.


But the change has come in round 14 where the majority cut off by 4300 votes. Majority was reduced to 1723 votes.


Now, the majority is 663 votes for TRS after round 15. Almost 4 - 5 rounds left now. Is it a twist in tale for TRS again like Mahboobnagar.


A Change is surely expected here. Now, Sangam or Gesukonda mandal counting is started. Unknown which mandal counting has been started and this is last mandal.

Thursday, 14 June 2012

YSRCP clears majority, TDP lose all

YSRCP has won 8 seats in 18 by-polls and is leading in 7 constituencies and Congress has won one and is leading in one, TRS is leading in Parakala.


TRS is leading with almost 4500 votes in Parakala, Warangal. Congress has won in one seat with 5000 votes in Narsapuram and Ramachandrapuram is leading.


Congress lost deposits in couple of constituencies and TDP lost in Ramchandrapuram and Narsapuram. With Emignur the first in pocket of YSRCP.


Rayadurgam, Prathipadu, Railway Koddur, Anantapur Urban, Rayachoti, Pollavaram, Rajampet are the victorious for YSRCP.


In amid all the fun, Rehman of YSRCP shot six rounds in air as victorious symbol and Police are about to take into their custody. He said, it is a All India Licensced Revolver and I can do this as no one is hurt.


Congress also lost deposit in Anantapur Urban, TDP is second here. Congress also lost deposit in Macherla. 


Tirupati which was thought of only 5000 majority is inching towards almost 10000 majority. Allagada is also having good majority crossing 35000. 


Rayachoti is the toppest with 47000 plus votes and congress lost deposit here. 

Counting Starts

18 by-polls for Andhra assembly has started. As of now. YSRCP is leading in 11 and Congress leading in 2 and TRS leading in 1.

Congress leading in Tirupati with 16 votes. TRS leading in lone Telengana Parakala Seat. TRS leading with 1250 votes after first round. 

There will be a neck to neck fight here. Coming up is Gesukonda mandal votes, Surekha's backyard. If she loses there, then TRS would bag up that.

Allagada, Shoba Nagi Reddy leading with 3500 votes. Narsanapet, Krishna Das of YSRCP leading with 447. Rayachoti, Srikanth Reddy leading with 3914 votes. Narsapuram leading 194 votes

Rayadurgam leading with 398 votes. Emignur leading with 2300 votes. Pollavaram with 1881 votes. Prathipadu with 1891 votes. Macherla with 10 votes. Rajampet with 2500 votes.

Breaking, YSRCP pulled back 1 from congress. Parakala 995 votes leading for TRS, before completion of round 2.

Congress leading in Tirupati with double digit. 

TDP second in Parakala. A shocker, where is Konda Surekha....???

Anantapur Urban, 1000 votes majority for YSRCP.

Ramachandrapuram, the most talked for TDP and Congress. 453 votes leading for YSRCP.

Nellore parliament seat leading of YSRCP.

Counting tomorrow

The 18 by-polls for Andhra Pradesh assembly and 1 parliamentary seat have completed on tuesday with a record polling. On an average polling was 80% and the second highest polling was recorded in Ramachandrapuram with almost 86%, first being Narasapuram and Rayadurgam with 88%.


Once again this elections proved that City youth or people are just talkers but not the doers. Yes. Tirupati which is almost a city like Hyderabad, Vishakhapatnam, witnessed the lowest percentage in elections and much to shocker, it was way behind total or average polling.


The elections are completed and the worse part is the turn out for polling. It is just OMG. Polling which started at 8 with very low turn out, saw huge turn outs and queue which  was almost 100Mts to 200 Mts all the time till the end of polling.


The voting percentage creeped up like a tower all the time from 12 P.M. and it just went on till 5 P.M. Many surveys predicted that Jagan's YSRCP would win almost 16 seats with a range of 12-16. And TRS would win 1 and TDP or Congress by chance may win 1.


But according to our survey we predicted almost all 15-16 seats victory for Jagan's party. TRS has given a tough fight for YSRCP. But, in the latest report, it is not clear that TRS has surely got votes. In Gesukonda, Surekha's backyard. One sided voting is reportedly seen and one more mandal has also seen one sided voting for Surekha. Meanwhile, Parakal town witnessed mixed voting. As Surekha being a mass leader, there is also a slight chance that she would get out. 


Undoubtedly, BJP has fallen behind in the race here. So, TRS and YSRCP are the only persons who are running to end line or finish line. 


So, all is set for counting and according to constituencies the voting will be taking place in respective educational institutions. Counting starts tomorrow at 8 A.M and by 12 P.M. results would be clear and betting is also in full swing.


Nellore Parliament, Rayadurgam, Rayachoti, Ongole are some where betting on majority is going on. Ramchandrapuram, Parakal, Prathipadu, Anantapur where betting is being on winner.


We will be updating the big results tomorrow, We will be set with 8 A.M. tomorrow. Please do visit our blog for all updates.... Results from 8 to 2. Non Stop.

Monday, 11 June 2012

Survey of 18- Bypolls. Part - 2

As we have reported earlier about the survey we have done. We have given the part 1 survey which belonged to Rayalseema region and also one Parliamentary seat.


Though YSRCP would win all the segments posted in previous part. We have said there will be close finish in Tirupati segment and may witness in Allagada, which is not possible though. It is the voting percentage which would decide the final result.


Coming to other segments, the rest are in Coastal Andhra and Parakal seat.


Parakal, the constituency from Telengana region. Here Congress and TDP are in back row and major competition is between BJP, TRS and YSRCP. YSRCP candidate Konda Surekha resigned her cabinet post after demise of YSR and after that she voted against Congress forsake of Telenganahood. She made clear statements of saying that she sacrificed her cabinet position for YSR and resigned for MLA for Telengana. There was good response for her. But conversion of votes is doubtful. 


Being in Warangal a strong force of Telenagana, her win is bleak. However, TRS also is unsure of victory, though they have placed a big bet here of winning. It is doubtful they win as people are fed up of false promises of KCR and is highly unseen in region in normal days. BJP, it is growing as strong force in Telengana region as of now. The candidate they posted is also a good and honest man. 


So, we couldn't figure it out the winner in Parakala. But the contesting is between BJP and YSRCP/TRS. YSRCP pulled ahead in campaigning in last ten days or so before elections, which was not expected. The legendary women vote bank gets divided here. Some move towards Jagan and some to BJP/TRS. So, this seat is real tough for YSRCP and equally tough for BJP and TRS.


Moving to coastal Andhra now, Narsanapet, the tug of war between brothers. Dharmana brothers are virtually divided here. While elder Dharmana holds a cabinet post in Kiran government, second one is out of congress and the third is contesting here against his elder brother. Dharmana Krishna Das is contesting here against Congress Dharmana Ramdas. Krishna Das will win here. It is believed that Krishna Das has done good work to move to YSRCP as people are fed up with monopoly of Dharmana brothers in congress. Krishna Das is banking on sympathy votes of he being alone in his family and also Jagan symapthy votes.


Now Payakaraopet, constituency in visakhapatnam district. Golla Babu Rao is YSRCP candidate here, he was in second position. But after Vijayamma's superb success road show, he has made himself be first in race. Women votes play pivot role. He has better chance of winning now. here, TDP candidate was ahead but now tough fight is expected between Congress and YSRCp. Thanks to good rigorous campaign of Congress. Babu Rao might pull out this.


Ramachandrapuram, Pilli Subhash Chandra Bose, a minister in Rosaiah cabinet has resigned for sake of Jagan. He was one of the front runner to oppose high command's decision of making roasaiah CM. Thota Thrimurthulu and Chikala Ramachandra reddy are participating from congress and TDP. Pilli would win this seat quite comfortably. 


Narsapuram, a seat where YSRCP is in two minds. Though not confused, but has doubts. Prasad Raju is participating here. he is banking only on Jagan. He is not a good runner in people. But fortune changed for him after rigorous campaign of Jagan and Vijayamma. Kothapali Subbarayudu and Ramachandra reddy are the other major candidates. Subba Rayudu is a very good candidate and he is expecting to pull this. But according to me, Prasad Raju might just pull out as Babu Rao.


Pollavaram, can be a close contest but YSRCP has edge here. It is learnt that voting share plays here key role in who wins. There are segments in this constituency who have vote bank to only one group and not even one vote is polled to others. Balaraju from YSRCP and Pravathi from Congress, Sreenivas from TDP. YSRCP would pull out this one too.


Prathipadu, Sucharitha is participating here on YSRCP ticket. Sudhakar babu candidate on Congress. Its reall tough one for YSRCP. Sucharitha is banking on women votes and Jagan's charisma. Its real tough one. Might be on the losing side too. A close one for sure.


Macherla, yet another family rivalry here. Pinmeli Ramakrishna reddy and Pinemeli Lakshma reddy are on YSRCP and Congress. It is Abbai-babai war here. YSrCP would win this segment. As Ramakrishna is a young candidate and is also having good name in constituency.


Ongole, Balineni Srinivas Reddy, an ex-minister in Roasaiah office. He was along with Pilli Subhash Chandra Bose and both were extremely close and were mounting pressure always forsake of Jagan. Yet another confident seat for YSRCP. No Doubt victory here. Bet on majority here. Parvathi is cnontesting here on Congress.


The last seat, Udayagiri... Mekkapati family member. Mekapati Chandrasekhar Reddy on YSRCP and Kambam Vijay Rami Reddy is on Congress. It is no doubt YSRCP seat. Mekapati has strong influnece in this segment. Infact, they can dominate Nellore district politics in coming days. Chandrasekhar Reddy will win with as much as 15000 majority if I am not wrong. Though VijayRami Reddy is good choice here. He is not as good as Chandrasekhar. 


So, that concludes our report. Where you see that majority are one sided and some are bi war and some are tri war. It is left to voters. In few hours the voting starts and almost 72 hours later results will be given. So, please do read our updates coming in few more hours from now. 


We will be giving our good reasons why we haven't given TDP candidate names after updates of voting. We will be updating the special report of what happens if YSRCP wins every thing. As of now bye and stay tuned for updates.

Thursday, 12 April 2012

Rahul Gandhi to look into A.P Politics

Rahul Gandhi is believed to concentrate in Andhra Politics after his disaster show in Uttar Pradesh. It is believed that, Rahul wants to get a strong image right from South, such that he can withstand in future race of  Prime Minister. It is also said that, Sonia Gandhi wants Rahul to eye Andhra Pradesh and save Congress from wipe out from state as it has been facing severe problems right from the untimely death of Chief Minister Y S Rajasekhar Reddy, he was responsible for UPA's win at center as he sent 33 MP's from AP and also led the elections (assembly) single handedly. 

Now, the total image of Congress is being eclipsed by Group politics in Congress and many local scams. Moreover Y S Jagan Reddy son of demise YSR Reddy, is moving swiftly in politics and people. He has achieved huge fan fare in People with his yatra's and style. It is believed that, High Command has purposefully sent him out of Congress, which is now threatening. TRS, the other problem for congress. It has been a while now, demanding for Telengana and TRS can go again setting their guns right for blazing for Telengana once again after their students complete their exams.

In admist of these troubles, local leaders do not want Rahul to enter into AP Politics, as no High Command leader has enough knowledge of AP Politics and on going position of Andhra state. The fact is that, Rahul doesn't take much care before going over others and these type of mislead information blazes guns from People and parties. As of now, Jagan who is racing away with awesome spirits, can make this entry into a turmoil for Congress and their future leader.

So, its all upto Rahul and Sonia to decide about the time and proposal to bring into AP politics... We can say only a word...Beta, South Politics are different from North... Be Careful

Friday, 30 March 2012

3 Decades of TDP

March 29, 1982 was the day when Matinee Idol of South India and A.P's whole hearted actor Late Sri Nandamuri TARAKA RAMA RAO famously called as NTR launched his political party just to show the stamina of Andhra-ites. He launched Telugu Desam Party when people of A.P were reluctant to vote Congress to power again. TDP's record is unmatchable, within 9 months after starting the party. It came into power.


The alternative for people of A.P was well set up with NTR's TDP. They have created a history by winning 204 seats in 1982-1983. They maintained well with the majority but due to some reasons, government fell flat. 


In the next elections in 1984, TDP won back again into power with surpassing by a seat this time. They won 205. Later they were confined to Opposition party in Assembly and later won back to power in 1994. At this point NTR passed away. And party's proceedings were taken over by N. Chandra Babu Naidu.


There are many speculations over NTR death and they still continue. Chandra Babu holds the records for the longest time of C.M for A.P state. He was in chair for more than 9 years. However in 2004, they suffered a huge setback as they were limited to 47 seats. The worst ever in their history. This was for stand taken by Chandra Babu Naidu on farmers.


In 2009, they teamed up with TRS, CPI, CPM. But still couldn't win those elections. The big problem now they are facing immediately is threat to lose the 90 odd seats which they won in 2009. With YSRCP, a new party on block, is showing a lot of increment in vote share in Coastal Andhra and Rayalseema region. 


With TDP almost shuning out in Telengana as their supremo couldn't take a stand on Telengana issue. No doubt, it can be said that, TDP and Chandra Babu are certainly facing the heat which they never thought of in 30 long years of party's sail. There is every chance of TDP to hold their position to very low number of seats this time. One can only say that, its time for Chandra Babu to stop acting and think. 





Monday, 26 March 2012

Parliament Rocked with Telengana

Telengana issue was once again quoted by Congress MP's and TRS MP's in Parliament today. In details, Lok Sabha was adjourned on Telengana issue and in Rajyasabha K Kesav Rao of Congress made his voice clear and went on to say many things on Telengana and importance of it being a separate state.


He also expressed faith in Congress led UPA and Sonia Gandhi, chairperson of UPA, giving Telengana as a state. He was well supported with some of BJP leaders in Rajya Sabha. 


KCR went to Delhi with his M.P VijayShanthi yesterday after cancelling all meetings which were scheduled for today and tomorrow. He was well with all guns blazing at center for its unconcernment over Telengana issue.


KCR was fast to got to Delhi and attend Parliament as the suicides forsake of telengana were started again. On Saturday, an MBA student from Warangal Bhojya Naik sacrificed himself for sake of Telengana. A letter was available with him, which said, "nothing short of telengana is wanted by the people of telengana. I want every politician to start realize the dreams of telengana students and youth."


As this incident was not yet forgotten by people, there was another suicide committed by another youth in Warangal. Raja Mouli, an auto driver lit himself up near a petrol bunk in Hanamkonda earlier today and died on the spot. People present at the scene reportedly said that, before lighting up himself he shouted slogans of telengana. 


With this deaths, TRS party has called for Telengana bandh tomorrow. This bandh comes as shocker for Tenth students. Tenth Board exams have just started today and were peaceful on day1. Lets see, whether TRS calls of strike keeping a view of Tenth board exams. 

Thursday, 22 March 2012

'Jump'ing Season ahead???

After stupendous success of YSRCP, TRS in by-polls, all the political leaders are rethinking about their position in their parties. According to a newspaper and some sources, as many as 80 Mla's have contacted Jagan Reddy and congratulated him on his victory.


Now, this number clearly defies his mass appeal and churn out of 2014 results. Many leaders have contacted central committee persons of YSRCP and expressed their wishes and feelings on joining YSRCP. Some analysts feel that, Jagan should be extremely careful, as the victory can make him feel on top and loss on land. He has to chose those persons who would be with him even in strong and tough conditions. Just as he managed to get support of 17 MLA's.


As he got phone calls, he was also down to earth about the victory and showed a lot of sensibilism in his talk. Many telengana leaders are now unable to decide about joining in TRS or BJP. Certainly, BJP has become a lifeline for leaders who don't want to join TRS. 


TRS should now plan well orwise would fall to low, which they haven't seen since 2009. According to some reports, KCR has already started his work to get back and gain hold on all major constituencies.


If Jagan continues his odarupu yatra into telengana region, which he should have started by this time. Then leaders will get a third option of joining in. Because, Jagan made it clear and also won sympathy on his stand on Telengana. As he said, he doesn't have any power to give or stop and we will not stand as mock in between for Telengana. This statement he made in last year plenary meetings won many hearts in Telengana region. Even Konda Surekha, his loyalist MLA hails from Telengana.So, its easy for leaders to get into his camp.


So, one can say that its bad time ahead for TDP and Congress. They have to rethink of strategies. TDP couldn't score on their magic or their belief. They believed to put up a super show in Kovvur. But to their dismay it was worse.


In 2009, Prasanna Kumar Reddy won Kovvur seat with a majority of only 8000 votes as he got 73000 votes and congress got 65000. As he did not spend any money this time, his vote share did not increase by much, but the vote division, which TDP kept hopes on were flattered as, their share has got divided with Congress. And Majority rose to 23000 votes.


Its time for the next round of by-polls. Where 18 constituencies are going to witness elections. 17 of YSR loyalists and Chiranjeevi's Tirupati as he has been nominated to Rajya Sabha. He has to resign as MLA. If Jagan tries to win Tirupati, then its nothing but a humiliating loss for Congress in 2014. 


Even TDP is going to lose its share. It is as much as 15% loss of vote share by TDP in state, according to a survey held in 2011 end. It might be detroiting now.



Wednesday, 21 March 2012

Celebrations and Repentions

After stunning victory by Jagan's man in Kovvur and TRS men and BJ. Its time for celebrations as most of them registered victory(predicted). But only one surprise in this bypoll result was BJP's show. Even though we predicted the victory of TRS in MahboobNagar as a tough one, BJP just managed to pull out.


This election was special for Jagan for two reasons, primarily being The show of YSRCP outside Kadapa in fact Rayalseema region and secondly Prasanna Kumar Reddy didn't pump money as Jagan fortefied him to. Jagan wanted to test YSR's sympathy wave and his own Charisma outside his region and he succeeded.


This election proves much relief to TRS and YSRCP as both crossed their fingers on results and majority. YSRCP maintained well with a more than comfortable majority, one of the analysts said, when you are opponents are spending more than 1k per vote and you are spending about 200, then 24000 majority is just as good as 50000. If you spent money on course with opponents you would gain desired majority.


TRS won 4, infact 5 as they supported Nagam Janardhan Reddy in Nagar Kurnool and he to won with comfort majority. The shocker for TRS was MahboobNagar seat where they lost election to BJP with less than 2000 votes difference and even Jupalli Krishna Rao won with majority of little more than 13000 is also a problem for them.


Admist all results, Congress and TDP have suffered humiliating loss. Even though they maintained deposits its not a celebration time for them. They had to settle for positions 2 and 3 and in case of MahboobNagar 3 and 4. After the polls, in press conference, both Chandra Babu Naidu and Botsa Satyanaryana tried to act strong but fell very flat as they were concentrating on targeting yet again Jagan and KCR, but not themselves.


Many congressmen felt that this results will not be enough or eye-opened for high command. The coming 18 by-polls of YSR loyalists would be an eye opener as there is every possibility of all 18 sitting MLA's winning with a majority of minimum 20000. TDP has to face the worse coming in their way, if they don't rethink their strategy on Jagan and Telengana.


As of now, YSRCP, BJP would be enjoying and having their heads high after their monopoly result(only YSRCP) in Kovvur and Mahboob Nagar. TRS would be eyeing for 2014 survey reports as they have to get their caps on for fight given by BJP. Well, Congress and TDP should start working their strategy right from scrap. Its tough time ahead for both of them.




Please recommend this article. Thanks for reading. This article is a copy of present happenings in state and analysis. Author doesn't hold any responsibility for any discrepancies.

BJP Stuns TRS

BJP wins TRS in the very last round. In the last round 1897 votes majority was recorded by BJP candidate Yernam Srinivas Reddy.


Mahboob Nagar seat lose comes as shocker to TRS, as they have maintained lead for almost 14 rounds after maintaining last position in round 1. 


In the penultimate round TRS maintained 200 votes majority and many channels indicated TRS as winner. But few channels, got much more info and confirmed that the last round counting is going on.


Mahboob Nagar is the parliamentary constituency of TRS supreme KCR

ByPolls Results

The time has come for the 7 by-poll results.


As we predicted YSRCP would win Kovvur and TRS would sweep by-polls.


According to latest news, YSRCP has got a respectable majority of 25,000 + votes after 15 rounds... 


TRS won 4 seats out 6...  BJP is giving a tough fight for TRS.. At present 17th round is going on and BJP is leading with 200 votes. Slight improvisation may occur. As of now, its tough to call.


Nagam Janardhan Reddy contended as independent and won Nagar Kurnool with back up of TRS.


Nagam won with majority of 20000 votes over Congress candidate.


Meanwhile, Kama reddi constituency witnessed highest majority out of 7 with Gampa Govardha Reddy getting 75000+ votes and maintained the majority of 44466 votes. TRS maintained its lead all over the run in the result. TDP lost deposit here.


Station Ghanpur was also sealed by TRS with a majority of 33000 votes. Rajaiah from TRS won here. He also maintained his lead all over the run. Meanwhile, Congress lost its deposit here.


Mahboob Nagar is witnessing a tough fight, as of now 1459 votes majority is being carried by BJP candidate Yeram Srinivas Reddy over TRS's Ibrahim. As soon as the counting began, TRSwas in position 4 and then they have come to lead and now they are in second position. It is almost fix now that BJP would win here. 


Adilabad seat sealed by Jogu Ramana TRS Candidate, Ramanna won with a majority almost 25000 votes. Ramanna moved to TRS from TDP. And TDP here sits in third position.


Jupalli Krishna Reddy from Kollapur constituency won with a majority of almost 13000 votes. Jupalli moved from Congress. Congress here sits in position 2. But the interesting thing is Krishna Rao's majority was substantially decreased due to misunderstanding of Auto Symbol as Car and confusion of Nagam candidature in Kollapur. 















Wednesday, 14 March 2012

Fresh Survey on By-polls

The By-polls in A.P is now concerned situation for Congress. As they might lose these 7 seats. Infact the topic going in Congress Circles is how far are we going to fare in this elections ? Well there is something to rejoice for Congress according to latest survey reports.


Going into details, the 6 seats in telengana region are showing off great interest as Kovvur Assembly seat would win by YSRCP. Until and unless any magic happens they lose. Its even laughable to ask such type of questions.


The recent survey suggests that TRS is going to win major seats but the problem is that the percentage share may not increase when compared to others. The survey suggests that there is a chance for Congress and TDP to improve their vote share from their previous outings. If you consider previous elections held in 2010, both Congress and TDP showed pathetic performance.


The performance of both the parties is repeatedly held positive this time as there is a slight chance to improve their performance. But the big threat for them is in the form of BJP, where BJP is gaining higher vote share than ever imagined. Even though, they might not win, but they are giving a strong fight for Mahboobnagar seat.


Seeing the way BJP is heading in Telengana, they are sure that they have no chance of gaining any momentum in Coastal and Rayalseema region as Jagan's YSRCP can sweep majority seats anytime from now. So, to their much delight, the recent Kishan Reddy yatra has brought a lot of favour and positive to them in TG region. In that way, they have been a tough contestants to BJP as far as MahboobNagar is concerned.


Both TDP and Congress have no choice of rejoice as they have to deal with their performance in Kovvur segment. This particularly being the seat of TDP, now is quite comfortably jumping into YSRCP's count. If both congress and tdp put a poor show then it is unevitable for them to throttle with Jagan.


Remember, TDP and Congress have to consider one major fact that they are going into elections without YSRCP in telengana region. If Jagan tours here with his trademark style, he may improve his share and may go on to win some of the seats in TG region, which will minimize the run of Congress, TDP and BJP. However there may be a little effect on TRS party. If they continue their heat until 2014 election.


However the survey report may change for last minute as KCR is yet to canvas in some segments, which might turn people's emotions and minds towards TRS again. In that case, the vote shares will be reset-ed to same position from where it is left. It is sure that TRS and YSRCP will sit certainly after this elections. 


We will try to update the latest survey by elections time. 


This post is with respective to Author. He is not held responsible for any faults. Please read the post and share.

Friday, 9 March 2012

Its getting tougher for Congress and easier to Jagan

As U.P results are still not out of heads for Congress chiefs, it has been a real tough task in A.P. The reason, simple, not many leaders in congress are really interested to contest in the forthcoming elections of the disqualified MLA's of Jagan.


It is now believed that, Congress has no more charisma in state, even though Chiru entered, as he himself no very well that he is weak in Politics and that is the reason he is trying for Rajya Sabha seat, which is making political analysts think that, will Chiru win back his own seat, if gone to elections again?


The axed MLA's are pretty confident on winning back with better majority than 2009. According to some statements from second ranked leaders, Jagan has ordered his MLA's to start campaign irrespective of date of contest, as he believes the elections would be definitely before June as the tenure of President, Vice-President is about to complete and new faces have to be elected.


However this MLA's are very confident and have started to negotiate with all local leaders and trying to pull the opponents into their stream, which would make spineless for both Congress and TDP. Many seats like Parakala, Rayachoti and others are already being declared as winners as there is no big fight to be appearing.


Congress leaders are not happy with the proceedings of the A.P politics as they feel, its getting easier to Jagan. And Jagan who is a Smart player in politics, is converting even a stone thrown at him as jewel. He is basking in glory of sympathy and pride. Many congress men feel that it is safe for them not to contest in any type of elections until 2014, as it may detroit their image in their own constituency as D L Ravindra Reddy. D L couldn't be success even in his segment when contested on Jagan last time for Parliamentary.


Congress Chiefs are finding it difficult to find a proper candidate for next by-polls, and much to their fear, no candidate is showing any interest. Its the same case with TDP too. Generally, Chandra Babu Naidu has got reputation for energetic and Critical politics, but for some time, he is falling very flat. Right from 2009 elections where he couldn't convert his schemes into votes and later couldn't capitalize on the group politics been played in Congress with absolute zero governance in state. 


For his worse, its Jagan and KCR, who are making their brains to work and lay practical plans and succeeding. Both Jagan and KCR are bitter rivals for Chandra Babu. As, Jagan created a havoc with his charisma and seized many of TDP's constituencies and having a better and fair edge. Meanwhile, KCR who was a member of his team suddenly became a pro to another party which cleared away TDP in many segments in Telengana region.


However, the 17 seats would be retained by YSRCP as of now, well advance survey says. Though people, may not turn out their heads around as fast as in the gap of 2 months. If Congress wins back atleast one seat, then it would boost up party's performance unless they capitalize.


This article is Author's feeling/analysis. He is not held any responsibility for any discripencaries. Please share the news item.

Wednesday, 7 March 2012

Its turn for Jagan to repeat Akhilesh in A.P

After the en-strangled battle of UP for more than 6 weeks, it is learnt that Sonia Gandhi or Gandhi's having a tough time now and also forced to have in near future due to many threats. The prime being High Prices of all commodities and Corruption.


With the devastating performance put by congress in U.P, the main thing being discussed in all political circles through out India is, what is the position of congress in our state and what in south?


With congress totally wiped out in Tamil Nadu, and facing a strong resilience from local leaders to develop a fort in Tamil Land. They are being as supporters for either of party mostly DMK. As AIADMK turned to third front, which can be skipped off. Neither third front has attractive leaders, nor enough criteria to lead India. The other state being Karnataka, where congress is struggling to gain power as they are unable to cash on the problems created by BJP such as Illegal Mining, corruption charges on former CM Yeddy. The situation has come to worse from bad, as congress was unable to convert these charges to threatens of governance.


The big state of South, Andhra Pradesh, Which was a fort for only two either congress or TDP from Independence is now facing heat in many forms. The Prime being Jagan's YSRCP. The YSR Congress Party established after sudden demise of late CM YSR Reddy, is the famous and most attracted party for local leaders and people.


With Akhilesh yadav setting up U.P as a state for S.P with his mesmerizing tricks, to be fair promises which attracted everyone from all castes. Akhilesh Yadav, an Engineer turned politician really played a constructive role to bring everyone in his party together and made it possible for the party. 


Akhilesh Yadav started his campaign for his father right from the word GO. He started his campaign with Kranthi Yatra, touring each and every district on a bicycle, and attracting common man. With Mayawati waiting for her time to get into act for campaigning. Akhilesh captured the opportunity and has played his own game to get into people. He mastered each and every program and also was a power pack for speeches unlike Rahul Gandhi, who was just using a momentum but unable to hold or capitalize momentum.


Akhilesh yadav toured U.P and organized 551 meetings prior to elections, where he was successful each and every time. On the other side Mayawati toured and orgainzed around 400 meetings which were successful too, but clearly made a mark against her. Rahul campaigned 218 constituencies and organized 221 meetings, wanting to win atleast half of his meetings.


Now, Akhilesh a happy person as he has brought back smile on his father's face and also can lead a peaceful time now after hectic 2 months election schedule and extensive one year campaign.


In Andhra Pradesh, there is a similar situation faced by Congress, Sonia Gandhi speaking today to media said, "The problem is we are having many leaders." This is now the problem in AP too, as YSR Reddy was lone leader who had charisma and stamina to talk, challenge, win and essay any role for Congress, and he was successful everytime. But after his demise, its no one for Congress, as YSR Kin Jagan Reddy has established his own party and trying to have his own empire. None has expected Jagan to move out of Congress, which was a dead shock for Congress.


Now, the youth icon of not only AP, but south, is trying to extend his image to Nation wide, with his stats and schemes, where he has been in news for false reasons, but able to convert the false to true and sympathy. With a record breaking majority at his door in Lok Sabha elections held last year, he made it clear to high command that he is set for his own empire. With U.P result a lesson for congress, A.P will be a demise for Congress.


A.P was always a power house for congress, as it helped from all sorts of troubles, now creating a problem, with literally no development, no schemes, no proper leader to make it to land for Congress. U.P is always a tough ask for congress and now it should not have the same with A.P as Tamil nadu is already out of Congress hands.


Jagan meanwhile, is running his cap and progressing with his never lasting Odarupu Yatra. His Condolence tour ready to enter into Telengana is big question for TRS, Congress, TDP and BJP. As, TRS is now healthy and happy as it has major power house set up. BJP making a way to develop. Congerss, TDP trying to regain their image, as they have already lost in Costal and Rayalseema region. 


Jagan is all-ready to repet Akhilesh yadav, infact he has own stature and style to repeat his Lok Sabha poll victory in A.P, as a recent survey conducted by a higher official neta in Congress pointed a 180 seat mark for YSRCP, which is almost 50+ seats, what congress has now, not taking in consideration of PRP seats.


Its time for congress to learn something and start making a soft towards Jagan, as he is the only pole congress can see now, as TDP would never join congress, and TRS cannot cross 120  mark and PRP cannot win back their last outing results at all.


Time has to say for what congress has in store.. Lets wait for 2 more years to see the developments in this political game.


The post is of author's personal opinion. Where he is not held of any responsibility. Please do read and make others read.And do comment.

Thursday, 20 October 2011

Indefinite Strike - Hit or Flop ??????

The T agitation's new form Indefinite Strike aka Sakaala Janulu Samme (సకుల జనాలు సమ్మె) has come to an end almost as of now. With Teachers back to their work, RTC employees, Singareni workers and Doctors joining their duties earlier this week has raised a question for T JAC, was this all.

The agitation as it was very severe just before the festival season has calmed down all of sudden. Making a way for surprise for High Command and also common man, how come the agitation be quiet all of sudden.

The strong reason is, the revoke of second grade employees, who strictly maintain their lives by Salaries. With festival season being a dum for them as no salaries were provided by the Government as said earlier in Strike days. As many not celebrating festival and also sitting in power cut houses was something strange. So, many of workers decided to raise their voices against their superiors who move in cars and can live life happily for days even if salary isn't paid. 

This revolt came as surprise because everyone believed all were ready for sake of T state, how far can they do? They just can't take it anymore with no salaries and studies of their kiddos going away and away for months. One of worker in a meeting said, " It is not fair you guys moving in cars and we don't have any mode to travel and we cannot leave our kids without any studies and smile on festival days, i don't want any more agitation, you superiors please go to Delhi and fight for our sakes, if you so feel that you really believe in T." This words were mere shock to leaders, in no time these words made much impact. In all to curb this views internally they made it cool and asked meetings with government.

The Government which was ready to square out with agitation, soon nodded for everything which was posted by the Parties or different committees, with in no time every thing looked very calm and steady from Government's perspective. Many feel that the revolution was launched by group of parents who protested against the T JAC and TRS party for spoiling the valuable time of students.
The protest which was not well organized by Parents drew a lot of interest in Media channels and parents of other students and soon KCR the chief of TRS was being attacked, when there was a discussion in some local channels, all parties were united against TRS on this issue and made the mayhem situation for party. Soon, the party took a decision to withdraw educational institutions from strike and also apologized in awkward manner.

As soon, there was a decision to open Educational institutions and teachers to stop agitation, RTC workers also decided to stop as there were thrown back with no money for a month and then Singareni workers also stopped the agitation and then Doctors with out any discussions gave a reference to government in Joining duties immediately.

By all this activities, TRS stepped back and another set back was the failure of 3 day Rail Roko program, which in normal words can be described as a big Disaster in Agitation, as on the third day many services which were partially or totally cancelled were put back into operation. With many leaders put behind bars and released on many conditions. 

So, one can say that the Agitation was a Super Hit First Half and a Disaster Second Half or a Weak Climax making the agitation impact to be sour and sweet to High Command and also State Government.

Lets see how TRS will strike back as the election results recently were also not very promising.


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