Survey of 18- Bypolls. Part - 2

As we have reported earlier about the survey we have done. We have given the part 1 survey which belonged to Rayalseema region and also one Parliamentary seat.


Though YSRCP would win all the segments posted in previous part. We have said there will be close finish in Tirupati segment and may witness in Allagada, which is not possible though. It is the voting percentage which would decide the final result.


Coming to other segments, the rest are in Coastal Andhra and Parakal seat.


Parakal, the constituency from Telengana region. Here Congress and TDP are in back row and major competition is between BJP, TRS and YSRCP. YSRCP candidate Konda Surekha resigned her cabinet post after demise of YSR and after that she voted against Congress forsake of Telenganahood. She made clear statements of saying that she sacrificed her cabinet position for YSR and resigned for MLA for Telengana. There was good response for her. But conversion of votes is doubtful. 


Being in Warangal a strong force of Telenagana, her win is bleak. However, TRS also is unsure of victory, though they have placed a big bet here of winning. It is doubtful they win as people are fed up of false promises of KCR and is highly unseen in region in normal days. BJP, it is growing as strong force in Telengana region as of now. The candidate they posted is also a good and honest man. 


So, we couldn't figure it out the winner in Parakala. But the contesting is between BJP and YSRCP/TRS. YSRCP pulled ahead in campaigning in last ten days or so before elections, which was not expected. The legendary women vote bank gets divided here. Some move towards Jagan and some to BJP/TRS. So, this seat is real tough for YSRCP and equally tough for BJP and TRS.


Moving to coastal Andhra now, Narsanapet, the tug of war between brothers. Dharmana brothers are virtually divided here. While elder Dharmana holds a cabinet post in Kiran government, second one is out of congress and the third is contesting here against his elder brother. Dharmana Krishna Das is contesting here against Congress Dharmana Ramdas. Krishna Das will win here. It is believed that Krishna Das has done good work to move to YSRCP as people are fed up with monopoly of Dharmana brothers in congress. Krishna Das is banking on sympathy votes of he being alone in his family and also Jagan symapthy votes.


Now Payakaraopet, constituency in visakhapatnam district. Golla Babu Rao is YSRCP candidate here, he was in second position. But after Vijayamma's superb success road show, he has made himself be first in race. Women votes play pivot role. He has better chance of winning now. here, TDP candidate was ahead but now tough fight is expected between Congress and YSRCp. Thanks to good rigorous campaign of Congress. Babu Rao might pull out this.


Ramachandrapuram, Pilli Subhash Chandra Bose, a minister in Rosaiah cabinet has resigned for sake of Jagan. He was one of the front runner to oppose high command's decision of making roasaiah CM. Thota Thrimurthulu and Chikala Ramachandra reddy are participating from congress and TDP. Pilli would win this seat quite comfortably. 


Narsapuram, a seat where YSRCP is in two minds. Though not confused, but has doubts. Prasad Raju is participating here. he is banking only on Jagan. He is not a good runner in people. But fortune changed for him after rigorous campaign of Jagan and Vijayamma. Kothapali Subbarayudu and Ramachandra reddy are the other major candidates. Subba Rayudu is a very good candidate and he is expecting to pull this. But according to me, Prasad Raju might just pull out as Babu Rao.


Pollavaram, can be a close contest but YSRCP has edge here. It is learnt that voting share plays here key role in who wins. There are segments in this constituency who have vote bank to only one group and not even one vote is polled to others. Balaraju from YSRCP and Pravathi from Congress, Sreenivas from TDP. YSRCP would pull out this one too.


Prathipadu, Sucharitha is participating here on YSRCP ticket. Sudhakar babu candidate on Congress. Its reall tough one for YSRCP. Sucharitha is banking on women votes and Jagan's charisma. Its real tough one. Might be on the losing side too. A close one for sure.


Macherla, yet another family rivalry here. Pinmeli Ramakrishna reddy and Pinemeli Lakshma reddy are on YSRCP and Congress. It is Abbai-babai war here. YSrCP would win this segment. As Ramakrishna is a young candidate and is also having good name in constituency.


Ongole, Balineni Srinivas Reddy, an ex-minister in Roasaiah office. He was along with Pilli Subhash Chandra Bose and both were extremely close and were mounting pressure always forsake of Jagan. Yet another confident seat for YSRCP. No Doubt victory here. Bet on majority here. Parvathi is cnontesting here on Congress.


The last seat, Udayagiri... Mekkapati family member. Mekapati Chandrasekhar Reddy on YSRCP and Kambam Vijay Rami Reddy is on Congress. It is no doubt YSRCP seat. Mekapati has strong influnece in this segment. Infact, they can dominate Nellore district politics in coming days. Chandrasekhar Reddy will win with as much as 15000 majority if I am not wrong. Though VijayRami Reddy is good choice here. He is not as good as Chandrasekhar. 


So, that concludes our report. Where you see that majority are one sided and some are bi war and some are tri war. It is left to voters. In few hours the voting starts and almost 72 hours later results will be given. So, please do read our updates coming in few more hours from now. 


We will be giving our good reasons why we haven't given TDP candidate names after updates of voting. We will be updating the special report of what happens if YSRCP wins every thing. As of now bye and stay tuned for updates.

Comments good, Response poor for Congress

Congress party going into elections to get back all 18 seats which got emptied after no confidence vote against them. 


They have to get back all of them including Triupati seat which was left vacant after Chiranjeevi going to Rajyasabha. 


After Jagan's arrest, Congress had only one thing to do, exploit the advantage of Jagan's arrest. lash on Jagan and his party, but that didn't happen. They fell flat. They targeted as if they were new to politics. 


They targeted Vijayamma and repeatedly saying, Vijayamma is making a controversy of YSR's death. She doesn't know how to make her son grow and gag gag. Not even one leader didn't target the principles.


Chiranjeevi is failing miserably to turn the moderate turnout to votes and same is the case with Botsa and CM. They are giving media statements but there are very poor responses from masses when they say negative about YSR.


YSR a chief weapon for both Congress and YSRCP. YSRCP used it from scratch and now they have that banking. Congress as usually with group and team politics with in made them to watch the flow of sympathy.


Many anti YSR leaders in Congress, repeatedly made a bad remark at top politicos and this made them to pay a hefty price. Chiranjeevi proving very poor in converting votes from crowd turnout. And no good leader or super speaker for them is proving a lot of trouble.


There is no unity in Congress party. Every one cries out hell on opponents where media people don't understand the news and common people just turn away from that. It is good to have second cadre but it is bad to have all second cadre in first position. 


Today in CM's campaign camera didn't pan to people present. Poor response drawing is making angry for contenders in elections. Huge money spent on campaigning and even star leaders also drawing average crowd and getting luke worm response from crowds is causing them choke in back.


On the flip side, not a strong bass voice Sharmila is kicking on in campaign by fantastic approach and response from crowds is super. This is making Contenders to look at their fortune once. Its danger bells ringing for congress if they don't start concentrating on positives. Remember YSR led successfully in 2009 elections by just concentrating on what we did, what we will do. Yes he did attack TDP but he did for 10% and 90% he only said programmes and programmes.


So, Congress leaders get ready with some interesting tools and save yourselves. 

Vijayamma Stuns Everyone

YSRCP Governor or Party President Y S Vijayamma kick started her campaign for 18 by-polls from Narsannapet.  She reached from Vishakapatnam airport to narsanapet by road.


Before kick starting her campaign. She paid respects for her Late husband YSR at NAD Junction in Vishakapatnam. She was accompanied by Sharmila Sister of YS Jagan Mohan Reddy.


Vijayamma started her campaign on emotional note and went on to add YSR's scheme and its beneficiaries and how present Congress government is not implementing them and also burst out on Chandra Babu for teaming up with Congress and making his son to go behind bars.


Sharmila added to Vijayamma speech by saying, "Congress never allowed us to express ourselves. They shelved all programmes. They made my brother to bow in front of them. But he didn't and as a result he is being tortured and assaulted."


She went on to add a lot in her speeches and her speeches have that emotional quotient to rack in moolah. She surely hogged onto expectations over her.. Its clear that, YSRCP is now running front atleast in narsanapet and payakaraopet.


Payakaraopet was tough to win for YSRCP at the start as TDP had good cadre. But days changed. Things changed and as a result, voters also have changed. After tour of Vijayamma and Sharmila, fortunes swung towards YSRCP. Payakaraopet has registered mind boggling numbers who have come to witness campaign of duo.


Almost all 50% of crowd have lady voters, which is not a good sign for opponents. The votes of ladies are very crucial. You can't have them on your sidelines by small gifts. Indeed YSR charisma is following and flowing in ladies still.


As of now, YSRCP started their Second league campaign and it is most awaited for Jagan's return. He has drafted petition for temporary bail to campaign on behalf of his party in coming elections. We might get sentence tomorrow. If luck favours, there is no doubt  YSRCP would sweep with huge majority in all constituencies.

Jagan's quash petition comes to hearing tomorrow

YS Jagan Mohan Reddy's quash petition for bail in High court comes for hearing tomorrow at 2:15 P.M.


Today evening High Court asked respective lawyers of Jagan and CBI to study the sections of 309 and 167. Where 309 says Jagan's arrest is illegal and 167 says we have provision to arrest. It is believed that CrPC 309 has edge.


Even High Court expressed interest over this issue and said, "What is wrong with Jagan going for temporary bail for campaigning by-polls?"


High Court added that tomorrow at 2:15 P.M. we will be giving sentence on Bail Petition. Meanwhile, Jagan's second charge sheet has been considered as separate case and all 3 accused, Y S Jagan, Vijay Sai Reddy and Jagati Publications have to appear before court on July 11 at Nampally CBI court.


There is chance that Jagan would get temporary bail for 10 days in his Judicial remand for by-polls campaigning. Tomorrow will be Decider day for Jagan.


Meanwhile, Y S Vijayamma met Jagan today in Chanchalguda Jail and is all set to campaign from Narsanapet constituency tomorrow morning. She will campaign tomorrow and day after tomorrow partly in Narsanapet.


Jagan received PT warrant in the second charge sheet from CBI court today evening.