Its getting tougher for Congress and easier to Jagan

As U.P results are still not out of heads for Congress chiefs, it has been a real tough task in A.P. The reason, simple, not many leaders in congress are really interested to contest in the forthcoming elections of the disqualified MLA's of Jagan.


It is now believed that, Congress has no more charisma in state, even though Chiru entered, as he himself no very well that he is weak in Politics and that is the reason he is trying for Rajya Sabha seat, which is making political analysts think that, will Chiru win back his own seat, if gone to elections again?


The axed MLA's are pretty confident on winning back with better majority than 2009. According to some statements from second ranked leaders, Jagan has ordered his MLA's to start campaign irrespective of date of contest, as he believes the elections would be definitely before June as the tenure of President, Vice-President is about to complete and new faces have to be elected.


However this MLA's are very confident and have started to negotiate with all local leaders and trying to pull the opponents into their stream, which would make spineless for both Congress and TDP. Many seats like Parakala, Rayachoti and others are already being declared as winners as there is no big fight to be appearing.


Congress leaders are not happy with the proceedings of the A.P politics as they feel, its getting easier to Jagan. And Jagan who is a Smart player in politics, is converting even a stone thrown at him as jewel. He is basking in glory of sympathy and pride. Many congress men feel that it is safe for them not to contest in any type of elections until 2014, as it may detroit their image in their own constituency as D L Ravindra Reddy. D L couldn't be success even in his segment when contested on Jagan last time for Parliamentary.


Congress Chiefs are finding it difficult to find a proper candidate for next by-polls, and much to their fear, no candidate is showing any interest. Its the same case with TDP too. Generally, Chandra Babu Naidu has got reputation for energetic and Critical politics, but for some time, he is falling very flat. Right from 2009 elections where he couldn't convert his schemes into votes and later couldn't capitalize on the group politics been played in Congress with absolute zero governance in state. 


For his worse, its Jagan and KCR, who are making their brains to work and lay practical plans and succeeding. Both Jagan and KCR are bitter rivals for Chandra Babu. As, Jagan created a havoc with his charisma and seized many of TDP's constituencies and having a better and fair edge. Meanwhile, KCR who was a member of his team suddenly became a pro to another party which cleared away TDP in many segments in Telengana region.


However, the 17 seats would be retained by YSRCP as of now, well advance survey says. Though people, may not turn out their heads around as fast as in the gap of 2 months. If Congress wins back atleast one seat, then it would boost up party's performance unless they capitalize.


This article is Author's feeling/analysis. He is not held any responsibility for any discripencaries. Please share the news item.

Analysis of By-Polls in Andhra Pradesh

With Election Commission releasing notification for 7 vacant Assembly seats. The time has come to prove the stiffness and dug of the parties who are really threatening each other in media.


Out of 7 seats, 6 are from Telengana region and 1 from Coastal Andhra region. With YSR CP clearing that they are not interested in contesting from any of telengana seat as they feel that all the leaders resigned for sake of Telengana and they don't have any intentions of taking over T- factor. With statement made clear, they have only one  seat from Andhra to contest and which was resigned by Prassana Kumar Reddy.N for including Late CM YSR Reddy in CBI report. He was MLA on TDP ticket from Kovvur constituency but was loyalist to YSR Jagan Reddy right from winning election in 2009.


The rest 6 seats are from Telengana region. They are:


Mahaboob Nagar


Kollapur


Nagar Kurnool


Adilabad


Station Ghanpur


Kama Reddy


Mahaboob Nagar seat vacant as MLA N Rajeswar Reddy was driven by untimely death. Congress named Mutyala Prakash instead of widow Vijayalakshmi, meanwhile TRS has also named its person, making Vijayalakshmi as independent to contest.


With unknown of her candidature one can expect TRS victory here, if they campaign at high levels or wise it would be a tussle between Congress and TRS. If at all Vijayalakshmi is set to contest as Independent and could intensify her campaigning then it would be a cake walk for her victory as there will be major twist towards her on Sympathy factor.


Kollapur seat became vacant as Juppali Krishna Rao resigned to Congress and MLA seat and joined in TRS. Now, P Vishnuvardhan Reddy has been handed responsibility to win back Congress seat. Minister D K Aruna and Juppalli were having hits in congress and now Juppalli joining in TRS, She made her impact felt on High Command by appointing her loyalist to contest against Krishna Rao.


It should be very easy to take back seat by Juppalli as he has been struggling for Telengana as separate state and was attracted by many other people of other constituency. So, its not a big tough task for JKR to win and add number to TRS. Its really tough for P Vishnuvardhan Reddy to win.


Nagar Kurnool, seat vacant as Sitting MLA Nagam Janardhan Reddy resigned for telengana cause and also an additional reason of Pathified relation by his then supremo Chandra Babu Naidu towards telengana. 


Nagam Janardhan Reddy will win this seat. That's what report says... Its just matter of his majority, though it would not be a major.


Station Ghanpur is to witness the battle between once i.e., Ex- MLA Kadiyam Sri Hari. T Rajaiah from congress resigned here. It would be really interesting fight here. TDP is just trying to get back in Telengana with this seat, while TRS is confident of sweeping this seat also.


Other seats are also of the same case, where fight between TRS and Congress would be seen, but majority would be won by TRS. Infact there might be all win for TRS.


Meanwhile,Kovvur seat would be won by YSR CP candidate N. Prassana Kumar Reddy over TDP's SomiSekhar Reddy. Congress candidates were reluctant to contest from here. Both YSR CP and TDP have started campaigning here. And YSRCP supreme Jagan would be campaigning here in 2 rounds. The first being on March 2nd. It is said that, Prasanna has good base in here.


Somisekhar and Prasanna Kumar are relatives. This being twist. No permanent friends and relatives in politics apply here.


That is the analysis of by polls in Andhra Pradesh. Lets wait for results. March 18 is action day and March 21 is decision day. 


The analysis done here is of basic knowledge and situations present in respective constituencies and also the x factors of candidates and parties. Author does not hold any responsibility for discrepancies. However scrutinized information is made available here for sake of betterment and flexibility.