BYPOLLS ANNOUNCED

By-polls for 18 Assembly Seats and 1 Parliamentary of Andhra Pradesh are scheduled to be on June 12.


The notification is not yet released, but a notice was given by EC or was said to press by CEC Banwarlal yesterday evening. Elections which were assumed to be in the start of July or end of June.


The shocker was, the elections are being conducted in the beginning of June. This comes as a dead for Congress as they were expecting polls not by the early of June 15, which makes them to have a competent enough time of 50 days. 


As the notice has been released, the notification for by-polls will be released on May 18 and the last date for submission is May 25. Elections would be held on June 12 and counting would take place on June 15.


Generally, EC gives the notice prior to 10 or 12 days to notification. This is perhaps the first time to have the notice well ahead of 24 days. With the notice released, the Praja Patham program which is being doing rounds in the 18 constituencies has to stop and in addition there will be no transfers of officials and surveys has to be stopped or should not be aired.


With the Praja Patham stalled right now, its important for Congress to regroup their strategy and run into people and prove themselves as Jagan has made it clear to be ahead in run. 


So, the election day or D-Day is June 12 and results will be out on June 15. Remember, this elections will be just referandum for 2014 general elections or local body elections, which are to be held very soon after this elections.


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Analysis of By-Polls in Andhra Pradesh

With Election Commission releasing notification for 7 vacant Assembly seats. The time has come to prove the stiffness and dug of the parties who are really threatening each other in media.


Out of 7 seats, 6 are from Telengana region and 1 from Coastal Andhra region. With YSR CP clearing that they are not interested in contesting from any of telengana seat as they feel that all the leaders resigned for sake of Telengana and they don't have any intentions of taking over T- factor. With statement made clear, they have only one  seat from Andhra to contest and which was resigned by Prassana Kumar Reddy.N for including Late CM YSR Reddy in CBI report. He was MLA on TDP ticket from Kovvur constituency but was loyalist to YSR Jagan Reddy right from winning election in 2009.


The rest 6 seats are from Telengana region. They are:


Mahaboob Nagar


Kollapur


Nagar Kurnool


Adilabad


Station Ghanpur


Kama Reddy


Mahaboob Nagar seat vacant as MLA N Rajeswar Reddy was driven by untimely death. Congress named Mutyala Prakash instead of widow Vijayalakshmi, meanwhile TRS has also named its person, making Vijayalakshmi as independent to contest.


With unknown of her candidature one can expect TRS victory here, if they campaign at high levels or wise it would be a tussle between Congress and TRS. If at all Vijayalakshmi is set to contest as Independent and could intensify her campaigning then it would be a cake walk for her victory as there will be major twist towards her on Sympathy factor.


Kollapur seat became vacant as Juppali Krishna Rao resigned to Congress and MLA seat and joined in TRS. Now, P Vishnuvardhan Reddy has been handed responsibility to win back Congress seat. Minister D K Aruna and Juppalli were having hits in congress and now Juppalli joining in TRS, She made her impact felt on High Command by appointing her loyalist to contest against Krishna Rao.


It should be very easy to take back seat by Juppalli as he has been struggling for Telengana as separate state and was attracted by many other people of other constituency. So, its not a big tough task for JKR to win and add number to TRS. Its really tough for P Vishnuvardhan Reddy to win.


Nagar Kurnool, seat vacant as Sitting MLA Nagam Janardhan Reddy resigned for telengana cause and also an additional reason of Pathified relation by his then supremo Chandra Babu Naidu towards telengana. 


Nagam Janardhan Reddy will win this seat. That's what report says... Its just matter of his majority, though it would not be a major.


Station Ghanpur is to witness the battle between once i.e., Ex- MLA Kadiyam Sri Hari. T Rajaiah from congress resigned here. It would be really interesting fight here. TDP is just trying to get back in Telengana with this seat, while TRS is confident of sweeping this seat also.


Other seats are also of the same case, where fight between TRS and Congress would be seen, but majority would be won by TRS. Infact there might be all win for TRS.


Meanwhile,Kovvur seat would be won by YSR CP candidate N. Prassana Kumar Reddy over TDP's SomiSekhar Reddy. Congress candidates were reluctant to contest from here. Both YSR CP and TDP have started campaigning here. And YSRCP supreme Jagan would be campaigning here in 2 rounds. The first being on March 2nd. It is said that, Prasanna has good base in here.


Somisekhar and Prasanna Kumar are relatives. This being twist. No permanent friends and relatives in politics apply here.


That is the analysis of by polls in Andhra Pradesh. Lets wait for results. March 18 is action day and March 21 is decision day. 


The analysis done here is of basic knowledge and situations present in respective constituencies and also the x factors of candidates and parties. Author does not hold any responsibility for discrepancies. However scrutinized information is made available here for sake of betterment and flexibility.